Published 1/8/2009
by Kanka
at Bleacher Report - MLB
Thanks to the hard-working Sky Kalkman over at Beyond the Boxscore , here's a spreadsheet of the Indians 2009 predicted Wins Above Replacement (WAR) . Some notes:
For hitting and pitching, I used the CHONE projections . On Sky's suggestion, I also used the quick-and-dirty formula (OBP*1.75 + SLG)/3 to approximate wOBA .
I included Luis Valbuena on offense to get closer to the "recommended" number of outs. As you can see, I'm still short. I'm not doing this as an endorsement of Valbuena over Barfield; CHONE has nearly identical plate appearances and wOBA for the two, making them interchangeable for the purposes of this exercise. I did leave out Andy Marte , since the popular assumption is that his time in Cleveland is short.
While my spreadsheet falls short of the recommended outs on offense, adding players (and therefore outs) actually increases offensive WAR in most cases. So, take this as a low-end projection.
Baserunning numbers are from Baseball Prospectus's EqBRR ...
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