Florida State's Improvement Probably Worth Noting

The regular season is over and now comes the critique of Florida State. How much did the Seminoles improve over last year? To answer this question, I utilized a probability function based on margin of victory. The Probability of Victory, or POV, function assumes that if two teams play and the game is very close, there is a 50/50 chance either team will win if they were to play again. And if two teams play and the game is a blowout, chances are that if the they were to play again, the winning team would win again. This system basically looks at how well Florida State has done this year based on margin of victory. It does not matter if Florida State wins by 100-93 or 7-0 because the margin of victory is the same. These numbers do not take into account strength of schedule, either. The equation does not care whom you play, but cares about the margin of victory only. All numbers are between 0-1 with 0.5 representing 50 percent. A number above 0.5 represents a win and a number below 0.5 ... (link)