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"Its the Paul Mall": Ranking the NBA Point Guards by WinRate
I finished ranking the NBA point guards by the WinRate I calculated them having last season. My complete "WinProfiles" for every NBA team can be found here . They are my attempt to assign credit for each NBA win to each NBA player based upon the player's statistical production and the ...
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Do you believe Charlie Villanueva had a crappy game?
In order to "get" this blog, or the statistics I use here and put my faith in, you have to be able to look at Charlie Villanueva's stat line from last night's game and say he had a poor performance. Admittedly, its hard for a serious basketball fan to look at that line and not conclude ...
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Green and Red Thumbs Up and Thumbs Down
Let's call a spade a spade. This has not been a great start to the exhibition season for the Milwaukee Bucks. It may indeed be the preseason, but at some point you just have to say this is pure garbage. Coming out of tonight's latest humiliating exhibition loss to the Detroit Pistons, the ...
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"All the way with LBJ": Ranking the NBAs Small Forwards by WinRate
In the runup to the 2008-09 NBA tipoff, Bucks Diary is ranking the projected starters across the Association at each of the five traditional positions according to the "WinRate" # each posted last season. Previously, we ranked the Centers and the Power Forwards. This afternoon we rank the ...
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Rough start for most big name NBA rookies (not named Oden or Love)
Its way too early to draw any conclusions about any of the NBA's rookies, but its not too early to begin following their progress. I'll be tracking them most of the preseason using the "Offensive Win Contribution" statistic. Win Contribution is a shorthand description of a player's entire ...
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I thought Villanueva's defense was good
Driving around this morning, I heard a soundbite from Bucks coach Scott Skiles following the team's absolute thrashing by the much improved Minnesota Timberwolves in their preseason debut, 117-78. The coach was commenting on the Bucks game high scorer Charlie Villanueva when he said, ...
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Ranking the NBAs Power Forwards by WinRate
As part of my preseason buildup here on Bucks Diary I am using the Win Profile statistics that I spent a great part of the summer calculating (I'm only partially exagerrating -- I think it took me about 100 hours... but a lot of that time was spent putzing around) to compile lists of the most ...
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 Thoughts on Camp Scotty and the apparent rise of Malik Allen
Thoughts on Camp Scotty and the apparent rise of Malik Allen
For those of you who think I'm already in the tank for Scott Skiles and Scottyball, you're only half correct. I love the new attitude he's brought to the team, there's no question about that. But his assessment of personnel can at times be suspect ...
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 Ranking the NBAs Centers
Ranking the NBAs Centers
Today I ranked the NBA's projected starting centers for 2008-09 according to their Overall "Win Rates" (Win Production per 48 minutes). Win Rate is not the same as the statistic I have been using for my previous rankings -- that is Win ...
The NBA's 20 Most Harmful Players in 2007-08
In order to make my list of the NBA's 20 Most Harmful Players, it is not enough for a player to suck. The list is based on each player's "Win Contribution" to his team, ie his impact on the team's overall success relative to the impact one would expect an average NBA player to produce ( ...
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Issues and Assumptions re: the 2008-09 Bucks
I am starting to piece together a win-loss preseason guesstimate for the 2008-09 Milwaukee Bucks, but I am having to make a lot more subjective assumptions than I anticipated. I lay most of them out below. I would appreciate thoughts on these issues: 1. Richard Jefferson . Three years ago he ...
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Dwight Howard reigned supreme in 2007-08
One of the statistics I like to feature on this blog is what I call "Win Contribution". I like to think its somewhat the equivalent of Baseball Prospectus' " Value over Replacement Player ". Click here to see my list of the NBA's Top 20 Overall Win Contributors for last season What ...
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The game we left behind at the Milwaukee Arena
This weekend I was talking to this guy who is an architect. He was describing the kind of structures he works on. Bored with his ramblings, all of a sudden I blurted out, "You ever think about how to improve the design of professional basketball arenas?" He looked at me like I was some ...
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Wild Card merchandise? Are you serious?
I open the paper this morning and something disjointed on the sports page caught my eye. Yeah, the Crew celebrating with champagne was weird enough, but it was actually something else. The Brewer players were all wearing "2008 National League Wild Card" merchandise . Ok, I know the Crew ...
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Bucks Diary: For the faithful... ONLY!
I've made no secret for whom I write this blog. The Green and Red Faithful. The sickos who, despite all the evidence to the contrary, despite all the beatdowns, despite all the dashed hopes, despite everything... hold onto their memories of Moncrief and Bridgeman and... yes, Fred Roberts... ...
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 How is Paul Pierce not on the NBA's All-Defensive team?
How is Paul Pierce not on the NBA's All-Defensive team?
When they decide who will be on the NBA All-Defensive team, they shouldn't do it by reputation (Bruce Bowen) or fancy shot blocking (Marcus Camby). They ought to award those players whose defense did the most to contribute to their team's success, ...
How I came up with the Defensive Win Score metric
I keep using this "Defensive Win Score" statistic, I'm not sure if I ever laid out my justification for it. Nobody else uses it, so I guess the burden is on me to lay some foundation for it as a legitimate evaluation tool. I'll try to here. I will also highlight some of its weaknesses, and ...
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 Is Al Jefferson the NBA's biggest defensive liability?
Is Al Jefferson the NBA's biggest defensive liability?
Using Professor David Berri's brilliant NBA " Win Score " efficiency metric, I developed a statistic that I believe is similar to baseball's "Value over Replacement Player". I call it "Win Contribution". Basically, Win Contribution takes each ...
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 Mental Notes from the Skiles Interview
Mental Notes from the Skiles Interview
Very late last night I caught a replay of the recent interview Dennis Krause did with Milwaukee Bucks coach Scott Skiles on Time Warner Cable sports channel 32. As usual, Krause did an outstanding job with his line of questioning. I didn't have my ...
Have you seen the Bucks new alternate road digs?
Remember two seasons ago when I was obsessed with the Bucks uniform change and I speculated they might go with an all red look? It turned out I was not wrong... just premature. Two years on and the Bucks will indeed be sporting an all red uniform -- occasionally -- on enemy hardwoods across ...
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