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Malcolm Gladwell, google searches, and quarterback draft status versus performance as predictor of future playing time
Last week, a high level cat fight broke out over Malcolm Gladwell's book "What The Dog Saw" when Dr. Steven Pinker wrote a critique in the NY Times. That critique included a reference to one essay in the book, which originally ran last December in the New Yorker, entitled "Most Likely to ...
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PI Finds: Ravens Don’t Relish the Red Zone
The Baltimore Ravens can't buy a red-zone touchdown these days -- against the Colts on Sunday, they had four chances from inside Indy's 20, and four times they came away with nothing so show for it. This isn't a new development, either; since they scored two red zone TDs against the Patriots on ...
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NFL teams underrated through ten weeks
I don't advocate gambling on football games, and neither does the P-F-R blog. Point-spread data are very useful as historical guides to understanding the perception at any point in time and to measure how the public may improperly value certain teams. The past is never a perfect prediction of ...
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NCAA: SRS ratings through twelve weeks
Last week's SRS ratings: http://www.pro-football-reference.com/blog/?p=4654 Thanks to Peter R. Wolfe , who makes the final score of all college football games publicly available, here are the NCAA SRS ratings through twelve weeks: rk team conf confrk MOV SOS SRS W L ...
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PI Finds: Rivers Seems to Have the Broncos’ Number
Philip Rivers leads the Chargers into battle against the Denver Broncos again on Sunday, and San Diego has to feel pretty good about its chances with No. 17 at the helm. That's because, out of all the players in NFL/AFL history to face the Broncos franchise, no quarterback has ever performed ...
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Announcement: Professional Sports Leagues Steroid Policies
Sports-Reference , with the help of researcher Greg Spira, is proud to present our definitive, comprehensive reference page regarding the performance-enhancing drug policies in place for various North American sports leagues/associations . In it, you'll find a list (in FAQ format) of the ...
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Tecmo Super Bowl Game of the Week: Chargers at Broncos
Courtesy of Matt Knobbe and the Tecmo Super Bowl Repository , here's your Tecmo Super Bowl Game of the Week for Week 10, featuring the San Diego Chargers and the Denver Broncos . The highlights: (How did we do this? Matt and the other dedicated folks at the Knobbe.org message board have ...
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Checkdowns: Smart Football Retrospective on 4th-and-2-gate
One of my favorite football blogs is Chris Brown 's Smart Football , and yesterday he had a very thoughtful post about Bill Belichick's controversial decision: "It’s not really fair to pick on Tony Dungy, who was an excellent football coach, because his excellence had nothing to do with any ...
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My college football rankings — week 11 edition
To the non-college football fans this year, my apologies for making things so college heavy this month. The college game has held more of my interest more lately, for reasons most of you should be able to figure out. Last Sunday , I posted my weekly NCAA SRS ratings. These simple ratings are ...
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Fifth Down Blog post
Every Tuesday for the remainder of the season, P-F-R will be teaming up with the New York Times' Fifth Down Blog. This week's column looks at the incredible season Titans running back Chris Johnson is enjoying. A small excerpt of that article appears on page B12 of today's print edition, for ...
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Remember when 300 yard passing games were for losers?
pro-football-reference.com — One of the Sunday traditions on NFL Countdown was to list the 300 yard passers and 100 yards rushers from each week of action, and then point out how more frequently the 100 yard rushers won. It was a prime exhibit for those who get their ... (more) Remember when 300 yard passing games were for losers?

Belichick, Peyton Manning, and 4th down decisions
pro-football-reference.com — Internet message boards, twitter feeds and sports media are blowing up over Bill Belichick's decision to go for it on 4th and 2 from his own 28-yard line , up by six points, with 2:08 remaining. First, a quick review of the play. The Pats came out ... (more) Belichick, Peyton Manning, and 4th down decisions
Checkdowns: Belichick Was Right
I had a feeling about this at the time, and Brian Burke of Advanced NFL Stats only confirms my initial belief : if you crunch the numbers, Bill Belichick made the correct decision when he decided to go for it on 4th-and-2 at his own 28 with 2:08 to go in the game vs. Indy last night... "With ...
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NCAA: SRS ratings through eleven weeks
With just one week left in the college football regular season, the college football rankings should be more precise than ever this week. And, as members of the national media are becoming more apt to notice, it appears we've got a Big 4, not a Big 3. With a blowout victory over rival Utah last ...
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Tecmo Super Bowl Game of the Week: Patriots at Colts
Courtesy of Matt Knobbe and the Tecmo Super Bowl Repository , here's your Tecmo Super Bowl Game of the Week for Week 10, featuring the New England Patriots and the Indianapolis Colts . The highlights: (How did we do this? Matt and the other dedicated folks at the Knobbe.org message ...
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Ahman Green, Frank Gore, and franchise career rushing records
You may have missed it, but Ahman Green re-signed with the Packers earlier this season, and last week he surpassed Jim Taylor as the Green Bay Packers' all-time rushing yardage leader. Very few team rushing records have stood the test of time with the expanded schedules and increased scoring. ...
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My College Football rankings
College football polls don't offer much to see behind the curtain: not only are there no official guidelines for voters to use when submitting their ballots, but there are no explanations given for their ballots, just a list of their rankings. While every week I publish the NCAA SRS ratings , ...
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Teaming up with the Fifth Down Blog
Every Tuesday, I'll be writing a short column for the New York Time's Fifth Down blog. I'll be writing a short piece of original content along with a quick recap of what's been happening on the P-F-R blog over the prior seven days. This week, I wrote about DeSean Jackson's record-setting ...
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Checkdowns: All You Ever Wanted to Know About the TTU “Air Raid Offense”
I'm a big fan of Mike Leach and Texas Tech's offensive scheme, especially the way he's been able to plug in seemingly random guys at QB and consistently produce video-game numbers no matter who's under center. This year, obviously, they've had some trouble settling on a QB to run the Air Raid ...
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First time visitors, against the spread
Last week, I posted some quick numbers on the new stadiums from 1997-2003, and the winning percentage of the road team based on the number of visits they previously made to that new stadium. Commenter "Guy" had a concern about team quality: Don't you need to account for the strength of these ...
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