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Yankees.com: Joba to face hitters in next rehab phase
 
NEW YORK—Joba Chamberlain has not pitched in a game in more than three weeks, but after playing catch and throwing bullpen sessions during his time on the disabled list, he can see an end in sight. “There’s light,” Chamberlain said. “I see a little bit. It’s peeking through.” Chamberlain threw a 45-pitch bullpen session on Thursday morning prior to the Yankees’ afternoon matchup against ...

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The End
 
Situational wOBA Splits (129 Comments - 8/28/2008 12:15:37 am ) It’s Over Johnny (104 Comments - 8/27/2008 6:10:34 pm ) Absolute MUST Win—Times Three (214 Comments - 8/27/2008 9:49:44 am ) MLB.com: Pavano (1-0) (2 Comments - 8/27/2008 3:50:48 am ) Robinson Cano and Balls in Play (42 Comments - 8/26/2008 2:56:49 am ) Five Days To Save A Season (215 Comments - 8/25/2008 6:08:17 pm ...

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Situational wOBA Splits
 
I've been thinking more about the whole concept of clutch and after a little more thought I've realized that the clutch stat that I referenced in this post is somewhat limited, given sample size and other issues. That hasn't stopped people from linking to that post to 'prove' their point that A-Rod is unclutch, but whatever. Anyway, since that statistic focuses on just batting average with ...

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 It’s Over Johnny
It’s Over Johnny
It’s Over Johnny (4 Comments - 8/26/2008 11:25:23 pm ) Absolute MUST Win—Times Three (213 Comments - 8/26/2008 10:58:33 pm ) Robinson Cano and Balls in Play (42 Comments - 8/26/2008 2:56:49 am ) Five Days To Save A Season (215 Comments - ...
Absolute MUST Win—Times Three
 
In past seasons the Yankees have put themselves in situations where they’ve had to step up to make the postseason.  There have usually been multiple paths, but in 2008, we’re down to one. The Yankees need to win tonight, win tomorrow, and win Thursday.  They can’t lose any of these games, or their chances to make the postseason require a major failure on the part of the Red Sox and ...

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Robinson Cano and Balls in Play
 
Coming into 2008, Robinson Cano seemed to be on the verge of solidifying himself as one of the top second basemen in baseball. He projected to be worth three wins above a replacement-level second baseman when offense, defense and baserunning were factored in. Instead, Cano has been a disappointment, hitting .269/.307/.410 instead of his average projection of .308/.348/.482. Cano's 20% CAIRO ...

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MLB.com: Pavano (1-0)
 
Carl Pavano was understandably rusty out of the gate, allowing three runs in the second, but he settled down and completed five innings to earn the win in his first start since last April, backed by a dinger and three RBIs from Jason Giambi. This Pavano guy seems like a decent starter.

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Five Days To Save A Season
 
While most of us buried the Yankees a week or two ago, they now have one, probably final, chance to save everything.  This afternoon they send Darrell Rasner out against Daniel Cabrera.  Rasner has had two great outings against Baltimore this season and one poor (though not horrible) one.  Cabrera has fairly owned the Yankees this season, although before this season the Yankees ...

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Yankees.com: Big night for the Bombers’ bats
 
BALTIMORE—Friday’s game summary reads like a laundry list of accomplishments: nine runs, two sets of back-to-back home runs, a five-hit night for Bobby Abreu, Derek Jeter’s 2,500th career hit and a 9-4 victory over the Orioles. The Bombers’ bats were a little too late to get Moose his 18th win.  Now for the delicate Carl Pavano tomorrow.  Vegas could establish a line for whether ...

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Baseball Prospectus’s Postseason Odds as of August 21
 
Original Version ELO Adjusted PECOTA Adjusted

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WOE (67-59) @ Blue Jays (65-61), 7:07pm **Game Chatter**
 
NYY: Snacks Pontoon (31, RHP, 7-3, 4.19) vs. TOR: Roy Halladay (31, RHP, 14-9, 2.64) Lineups… New York Yankees J. Damon, CF (.313/.386/.447) D. Jeter, SS (.298/.358/.411) B. Abreu, RF (.290/.364/.465) A. Rodriguez, 3B (.310/.397/.589) J. Giambi, 1B (.246/.384/.501) X. Nady, LF (.318/.389/.624) H. Matsui, DH (.318/.397/.453) R. Cano, 2B (.263/.303/.392) I. Rodriguez, C ...

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MLB’s Biggest Over and Under Performers for 2008
 
As requested, here's a look at the players who have deviated furthest from their projections so far this season. I cut off PAs at a minimum of 200, and am only listing players who are at least 10% better or 10% worse than their originally projected wOBA. The pre-season projections I am using for comparision are a composite of the following CHONE by Sean Smith. Marcel by Tango ...

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WOE (66-59) @ Blue Jays (65-60), 7:07pm **Game Chatter**
 
NYY: Andy Pettitte (36, LHP, 12-9, 4.30) vs. TOR: David Purcey (26, LHP, 2-3, 5.93) Lineups… New York Yankees J. Damon, CF (.311/.383/.447) D. Jeter, SS (.294/.356/.403) B. Abreu, RF (.291/.365/.467) A. Rodriguez, 3B (.313/.401/.595) J. Giambi, 1B (.249/.387/.506) X. Nady, LF (.309/.385/.630) H. Matsui, DH (.319/.399/.453) R. Cano, 2B (.265/.303/.395) J. Molina, C ...

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Who is the AL LVP?
 
Instead of doing what most writers are doing lately and looking at the AL MVP, here's a list of the AL LVP candidates, using position-adjusted batting runs above/below replacement level, defensive runs saved above average by zone rating and pitching runs saved above/below replacement level. Name Team Pos pBRAR dRSAA pRSAR TR Batista, Miguel SEA RP -24 -24 Mendoza, Luis A TEX SP -24 ...

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Blue Jays 2, Yankees 1
 
An inspired effort by a team that needs to win 3/4 of their remaining games to make the postseason…

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Yankees (66-58) @ Blue Jays (64-60), 7:07pm **Game Chatter**
 
NYY: Darrell Rasner (27, RHP, 5-9, 5.18) vs. TOR: A.J. Burnett (31, RHP, 15-9, 4.67) Lineups… Toronto Blue Jays TBA New York Yankees J.Damon, CF (.313/.385/.450) D.Jeter, SS (.295/.356/.404) B.Abreu, RF (.289/.364/.462) A.Rodriguez, 3B (.313/.402/.598) J.Giambi, 1B (.251/.391/.512) X.Nady, LF (.312/.391/.649) H.Matsui, DH (.323/.404/.458) R.Cano, 2B (.266/.305/.397) I.Rodriguez, ...

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 What Does Xavier Nady’s Fluke Season Tell Us?
What Does Xavier Nady’s Fluke Season Tell Us?
The Yankees still have a long hill to climb if they're going to be in the playoffs this season, but that's not Xavier Nady's fault. Since being acquired from Pittsburgh on July 25, Nady has been killing the ball, with a line of .312/.391/649 as a ...
Reports of My Demise May Have Been Premature
 
Rank Name Team Pos AVG OBP SLG pBRAR Clutch dRSAA TR 1 Jeter, Derek NYA SS .295 .356 .404 25 0 2 27 2 Peralta, Jhonny CLE SS .277 .320 .493 28 -1 -1 26 3 Young, Michael TEX SS .289 .340 .412 26 0 -2 24 4 Aviles, Mike KC SS .317 .343 .492 18 -3 3 21 pBRAR: Position-adusted batting runs above replacement using linear weights Clutch: pBRAR adjustment for ...

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Royals (55-68) @ Yankees (65-58), 1:05pm **Game Chatter**
 
KCR: Brian Bannister (27, RHP, 7-11, 5.36) vs. NYY: Mike Mussina (39, RHP, 15-7, 3.30) Lineups… Kansas City Royals D. DeJesus, CF (.291/.351/.441) M. Aviles, SS (.318/.344/.496) M. Teahen, LF (.252/.319/.389) J. Guillen, RF (.252/.288/.435) B. Butler, DH (.267/.322/.376) A. Gordon, 3B (.256/.350/.423) R. Gload, 1B (.269/.316/.336) J. Buck, C (.219/.292/.362) E. German, 2B ...

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2008 Yankee Performance in Series Openers
 
Openers Others Act W 16 48 Act L 25 33 Pyth W 16 49 Pyth L 25 32 RF 180 403 RA 226 320 Pythagenpat 0.394 0.605 Act W:: Actual wins Act L:: Actual losses Pyth W:: Pythagenpat wins Pyth L:: Pythagenpat losses RF:: Runs for RA:: Runs against

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