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http://www.themoneylinejournal.com/ - Sports picks and analysis from a contrarian perspective
I knew the stuff would be bad for my college football results. I didn’t think it would have such an effect on the bases plays though. Ouch.
Pittsburgh +114 (1)
Florida -109 (1)
Seattle +167 (1)
Seattle/Cleveland Over 10 +105 (1)
Oakland +163 (1)
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As I type this I am watching people fondle themselves over Temple laying 7 on the road. It is pretty hilarious. Oh how the lowly have risen.
UL Monroe +26.5 -106 (4)
Kunt St +10 -110 (4)
Bowling Green +13 +100 (4)
Western Michigan +14 -107 (4)
USC/Virginia Under 43 -105 (2)
Laffy, FAU, and Wazzu were the biggest passes. Week 1 is a total crap shoot. Playing loose isn’t a ...
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NCAA Football
Southern California Trojans
Saturday football picks will be posted later on tonight. Saturday baseball picks will be posted tomorrow morning.
NCAAF
Meth +3.5 -105 (4)
Would I be on Meth if this game was being played on Saturday instead? I honestly do not know. It doesn’t really matter. The game is tonight, and the odds makers set this line knowing full well that it would attract a ton of action making up ...
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MLB
June Jones
Toronto Blue Jays
Alpha_max:
JoBoo say money easy round here.
More free money if like.
Take Rice @ -3.5 with New Mexico @ +7 500 UNIT Parley
now run get paid JoBoo say………
I am past the point of taking this shit literally, but a Rice/New Mex parlay sounds like the type of play you would see from me if I were on mega-tilt not from some random square who is 2-0 on the year.
...
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NCAA Football
Baylor +12.5 -110 (4)
If the 5 Baylor turnovers came as any sort of surprise to you then you haven’t been around for very long. There is a reason why we are giving out a Baylor helmet as the dick punch prize for the Degenerate Cup. The one positive I am taking from this game was the performance of Derek Epperson. Baylor needs a good punter and D-Epp looked pretty solid last ...
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Other
This is sort of insane. I have had this much money in play many times before but never on a Thursday evening in late August.
For the football plays the amounts in () are to win n% of current bankroll in unless otherwise stated.
College Football
Baylor +12.5 -110 (4)
Apparently the fact that Baylor has been a consistently bad football programs for decades on end was lost on the odds ...
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MLB
Washington Nationals
Toronto Blue Jays
If you have not read these two posts yet then you are not going to have any clue what I am talking about below.
The record in 2008-2009 is going to be tracked the same way it was last year. The numbers you will find listed under the tracker are going to be calculated based off my original unit size of 1x = 1% of initial bankroll.
Continue Reading Play Posting and Record Tracking In The ...
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Soccer
Reading
I bet you didn’t expect that title to lead into a golf post.
The majority of the golf picks so far this year have been made on guys who have either exhibited good form in recent weeks or experienced better than average results at the current venue in the past, or in a lot of cases both of the above. This strategy was misguided. If either of those things truly matter* then they are ...
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Golf
Upon realizing that the Deutsche didn’t begin until Friday, I immediately went out in search of a golf fix for Thursday afternoon. I never did find the fix I was looking for but along the way I did stumble upon an egregious linesmaker error.
The mistake is obvious. Shingo should be +1200 not +12000. My initial instinct whenever I find something like this is of course to hit it ...
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Other
With football season, and more importantly, two golf tournaments both starting tomorrow I have been very busy today, and thus I really didn’t have a ton of time to analyze tonight’s baseball card. The mess below is the result of this time crunch.
Atlanta +115 (1)
Baltimore +169 (1)
Bo Sox/Yanks Under 10.5 -101 (1)
Royals -105 (1)
Oakland +230 (1)
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NBA
New York Yankees
Art Long
Going into the bottom of the 9th, down 3 runs to the Marlins, the Braves had roughly a 2% chance to come back and win. 5 hits and a run scoring fielders choice later they were high fiving and grabbing ass on the field, and those of us who laid -140 were able to breathe a huge of sigh of relief.
Now some might argue that this comeback simply balanced out the simultaneous loss by the ...
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MLB
Florida Marlins
Atlanta Braves
Craig Hansen
Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs
The 2008 Degenerate Cup
The VegasWatch NFL Totals Contest
Drop whatever you are doing and sign up for both of these right now. The second option is completely free.
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Other
Baltimore Ravens To Win AFC North +795 (23.95)
The 2008 AFC North is comprised of three overrated teams and the Ravens. The Steelers, Browns, and Bengals are all overvalued for different reasons and to varying degrees.
Nobody is talking about the Ravens. The fact that they still fetaure one of the NFL’s best defenses is concealed by the Boller-Smith-Flacco 3 way QB derby. How soon ...
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NFL
Baltimore Ravens
Cincinnati Bengals
Chicago Bears
Kyle Orton
Detroit Lions Under 6.5 Wins +105 (10)
I am a big believer in the work that is being done by the guys at Football Outsiders . They give this about an 86% chance of hitting. Realistically it is probably more like 60-65%. That will still work.
In 2007 the Lions were a 4 win team masquerading as a playoff contender. Their mask should fall off this season.
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NFL
Detroit Lions
U.S.A. To Win Ryder Cup +140 (.7)
This one will also count towards the 2007-2008 golf results. Don’t read anything into this. I placed this the day after the conclusion of the European dominated PGA Championship at Oakland Hills.
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Other
Tex/KCR Under 9 +102 (1)
This total opened at 9.5 and is now resting firmly at 9 regardless of what * TelecomJunkee thinks . Missing out on the hook probably means I will lose by a full 5 runs instead of 4.5.
Pirates +208 (1)
Maybe people will start to realize that Carlos Zambrano isn’t that great if the Cubs are eliminated from the divisional playoffs in five and two of the ...
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MLB
Texas Rangers
Carlos Zambrano
Chicago Cubs
San Diego Padres
This one will count on the 2007-2008 books.
Diamondbacks To Win The World Series at 24-1 (20)
I placed this about 5 minutes after their trade for Adam Dunn became public. Much like Michael’s bet on the Minnesota Twins the value on this at the time of placement was debatable.
This play looks a lot better today than it did two weeks ago as the Diamondbacks odds of reaching the ...
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MLB
Adam Dunn
Minnesota Twins
Arizona Diamondbacks
USF Bulls To Win National Championship +8000 (160)
This one has already been explained .
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NCAA Football
South Florida Bulls
Gonzaga To Win 2008-2009 Men’s NCAA Basketball Tournament 50-1 (2)
I put this in a few days after it was announced that Pargo, Daye, and Heytfelt were all returning to school. The Zags have been overvalued for most of this decade, but they are being overlooked this season for a variety of reasons:
They lack star power
It has been a few years since their last deep NCAA tournament run ...
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NCAA Basketball
Mark Few
Connecticut Huskies
I only get partial credit for this one since it comes so late.
Atlanta -3 +106 (4)
A strong ending to the preseason.
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