Basement Dwellers

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Five questions: Cincinnati Reds
Published 3/27/2009 by Justin Inaz at The Hardball Times
... Tom Tango's linear weights. I ran a check with base runs on overall team hitting statistics and didn't find much of a difference between base runs and what the linear weights project, meaning that there aren't extreme enough OBP vs. ISO issues to cause linear weights to be a poor predictor of team-level offense. Pitcher run allowed estimates are straight from CHONE, pro-rated by innings. Justin Inaz is a lifelong but still optimistic Reds fan. He writes about baseball and the Reds at his blog whenever he can find the time. Do you have a general question or comment for one of ...

Erie SeaWolves 2008 Season
Published 3/20/2009 by Lee Panas (tiger337@comcast.net) at Tiger Tales: A Detroit Tigers Blog
... Two Tangotiger Walk Like a Sabermetrician [image] Team Blogs DRays Bay Blue Cats and Red Sox RLYW (Yankees) Bronx Banter Twinkie Town (Twins) The Tribe Report Indians Confidential Athletics Nation Catfish Stew (Athletics) A Citizen's Blog (Phillies) Phillies Flow Viva El Birdos (Cardinals) Cardinals Diaspora Bucco Blog(Pirates) Redleg Nation (Reds) On Baseball & The Reds Brew Crew Ball McCovey Chronicles ...

The most improved Reds position? Catcher
Published 3/3/2009 by Brian at Spring Training '09
... Justin Inaz is a life-long Reds fan who is surprised to recently be feeling slightly optimistic about this season.  He writes about the Reds and baseball at On Baseball & The Reds.

NL Central Live Chat: Tuesday, March 3 @ 1pm CST
Published 2/27/2009 by Sky Kalkman at Beyond the Box Score
Join BtBers Harry and Erik, plus guest panelists Justin, Charlie, Stephen, and Kyle for a saber-slanted preview of the 2009 NL Central.  That's 2pm EST/1pm CST on Tuesday, right after FOBtB Marc Normandin's chat at BPro.  I work through the questions from beginning to end, so the earlier you show up, the better chance you have of having your questions answered.  We'll also have a few pre-set questions for all of these divisional chats that the panelists can debate. Chat window after the jump.  You can even enter your ...

2009 Reds Fantasy Baseball Preview
Published 2/25/2009 by Grey at Fantasy Baseball Blog at Razzball.com
... realize that exporting our views across the country has damaging consequences on the blogosphere.  To help make amends, we are reaching out to leading team blogs and featuring their locally blogged answers to pressing 2009 fantasy baseball questions regarding their team.  We feel this approach will be fresher, more sustainable, and require less energy consumption (for us anyway).  The 2009 Reds Fantasy Baseball Preview comes courtesy of On Baseball and the Reds. ...

JustVORP versus Just VORP: The (Sort of) Big Rundown
Published 2/17/2009 by devil_fingers at Driveline Mechanics
... I'm not writing to continue that tired non-debate or to make fun of those crochety ol' "mainstream media" types. Rather, I'm going to review some legitimate criticisms of VORP for position players (there are other issues for pitchers) and to see what sort of practical weight the problems of VORP might have, that is, does it matter beyond just a "few runs" that internet sabermetricians are carping about? In an earlier column, I discussed and utlized Justin Inaz's Total Value spreadsheet for 2008, a very carefully ...

How do we project players/shameles advertising
Published 1/27/2009 by salb918 at Athletics Nation
... wrote the Mariners chapter.  Justin Inaz wrote about the Reds.  It's like an all-star roster of bloggers and fans. ...

Earning Peak?
Published 1/20/2009 by StatsGuru at baseballmusings.com
... for the thinking fan. FantasyDope.com Fantasy baseball news. Peter's Red Sox Forever A Red Sox blog. Sox Nest Commentary on the Red Sox. The Big Oz A Florida Marlins blog. Baseball Reflections Where old school baseball meets sabermetrics. The Sommer Frieze A Yankees blog. Fenway Nation A Red Sox fan site. In-Between Hops A Milwaukee Brewers blog. Right Field Bleachers Another Milwaukee Brewers blog. On Baseball and the Reds Another Cincinnati Reds blog. Crooked Pitch A fantasy baseball ...

Statistics
Published 11/20/2008 by kensai (noreply@blogger.com) at Fire Ned Colletti Now
... is park adjusted. It is not league adjusted. This is a very useful statistic for figuring out a player's total contribution as a baserunner. Besides the stolen base factor, it also helps determine things like which players take the extra base. Wins Above Replacement I wanted to add this statistic because no site had a satisfactory metric that effectively measured all-around value. The calculations are mainly inspired by the work of Justin Inaz. 10 runs are worth approximately 1 win. Field Players ...

And the award goes to…
Published 10/7/2008 by Pizza Cutter at MVN RSS
... independent places.  Plus, ummm, the guys here at StatSpeak.  (note: if I didn’t contact you, I sincerely didn’t mean it as a sleight.)  I asked them to submit their ballots for the six major awards.  (MVP, Cy Young, ROY; one for each league.)  I specifically left the question of how to determine “value” blank, but I did point out that the reason I contacted them was because they were a bit past using “clutch” as a determining factor.  I also left aside the Manny Ramirez and C.C. Sabathia issues of how to handle guys who ...

Ouch!
Published 8/17/2008 by Shawn (noreply@blogger.com) at Cincinnati Reds Blog
... baseball stat package anywhere, get the Sabermetric Baseball Encyclopedia on CD-ROM at Sabermetric Baseball Encyclopedia (Lee Sinins) Also blogging the Reds is J.D. Arney at Red Reporter Reds and Blues, check it out: Reds and Blues The Cutting Edge is Blade Stevens' Reds blog: The Cutting Edge The Reds' team blog is a must-read: Redleg Nation For the women's perspective on the Reds, try Red Hot Mama! Red Hot Mama Check out JinAZ's blog, On Baseball and the Reds Here's the MVN entry Redlegs Rundown The Reds' entry at ...

Baseball’s Under-appreciated
Published 8/8/2008 by Sky Kalkman at Dugout Central
... I’m a huge fan of what Justin has going over at On The Reds (http://jinaz-reds.blogspot.com/). Every team-specific blog could learn from the mix of intelligent analysis and quality discussion of prospects, trades and day-to-day Reds information. For non-Reds fans, he does a great job explaining and presenting the best ways to actually value baseball players. ...

As of today, we're winning The Big Trade: Why the Reds are better off with Volquez than with Hamilton
Published 6/26/2008 by Rick House at Red Reporter
... But I wanted to use more substantial (and comparable) statistics. I decided on TV (total value) for the position players and RAR (runs above replacement) for pitchers, as calculated by Justin Inaz (JinAZ of On Baseball and the Reds). Justin also helped me out with some commentary. TV takes into account fielding and hitting and is park-adjusted. RAR is also park-adjusted. I chose not use FIPRAR, which factors in defense behind a pitcher and luck. I figure we're already discounting luck with the first assumption, and the Reds' defense is only hurting Volquez. ...

Damon Gaff Costs Yanks The Game
Published 6/21/2008 by Brian at Depressed Fan
... on the bases, plus my favorite defensive play happened. Molina picked a guy off second. It's rare that it happens, extremely rare, but when a catcher can pull that off it's just huge for a team. Erasing a guy from scoring position on a play like that, especially to end an inning, is a huge momentum builder. Moose should buy Molina a beer tonight. And, of course, we got to see another throw from Jason Giambi to Johnny Damon. Those are always humorous. Make sure you check out On Baseball and The Reds for your Reds fix. Justin does a great job over there. Player ...

Erardi Article
Published 5/11/2008 by Bill at Redleg Nation
... on first, Phillips has hit into 24 more double plays? Boy, there is a lot of good information in this section. Punches a big whole in several “theories” holes in Adam Dunn’s offensive game, explains why OBA is more important than being a contact hitter, and even shows a little why Brandon Phillips isn’t a big favorite of the “stats guys”. Wanted to list the last line in the article also… Joel Luckhaupt, Justin Inaz and Greg Gajus contributed.

Krivsky-for-Jocketty reaction
Published 4/25/2008 by jclay@herald-leader.com at John Clay's Sidelines
... gave good buddy Walt Jocketty the big office. Here are some reactionary links: Fired Krivsky blind to reality. [Tracy Ringolsby] Move to ax Krivsky should have come as no surprise. [Jon Heyman] Is Bob Castellini impatient or imprudent? [Paul Daugherty] Old-school Jocketty values positivity. [MLB.com] The Big Red Turnover Machine. [cbs.sportsline] "I don't know this team anymore." [On Baseball and the Reds] Krivsky: A clarification. [Hal McCoy] ...

Dusty Baker's Lineups Are Actually ... Good?
Published 4/13/2008 by Eamonn Brennan at FanHouse
... 's lineups are especially fun to talk about. And guess what: Dusty's lineups actually aren't all that bad. ...

[Quote] They like me, the really really like me..
Published 4/2/2008 by TD at MVN RSS
... For Broglio Bugs and Cranks Bus League Baseball By Ken Levine CGBB CodBall DOTD Duck Snorts Epic Carnival Fire Joe Morgan Friar Forcast Gaslamp Ball Global Baseball Have Bat Will Travel Homerun Derby In Dayton We Trust Independent Thinking Knuckle Curve Mack Avenue Tigers Minor League Ball MLB Fan House MLB Trade Rumors OBOS On Baseball and the Reds One More Dying Quail Padres Nation Red Hot Mama ...

We’ll Miss You, Joe
Published 11/17/2007 by Red Hot Mama at Red Hot Mama
... BarrysTickets.com is your source for Cubs Tickets , Pirates Tickets , Reds Tickets . Razor Gator Exclusive Cincinnati Reds tickets Phillies tickets San Francisco Giants tickets Arizona Diamondbacks tickets Mets tickets Store More products . Feature Chicago Cubs Behind the Ivy Bleed Cubbie Blue Goat Riders of the Apocalypse The View from the Bleachers Cincinnati Reds C. Trent Rosecrans JinAZ On Baseball and the Reds Red Reporter Redleg Nation Redlegs Rundown ...

The Real MVPs Revisited
Published 10/1/2007 by Vegas Watch at Vegas Watch
... Since I don't entirely disagree with the complaints about WPA, I thought I'd go through the same exercise, replacing WPA with VORP. With the understanding that the excellent "On Baseball and the Reds" blog ...