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Kincaid

Kincaid

BallHype Member since Nov. 15, 2008

Pitching to Contact and FIP
3-dbaseball.net — When a pitcher has a good defense behind him and pitches to contact to take advantage of... that defense, is it fair to use FIP to evaluate that pitcher? 3-DBaseball examines the issues one might encounter and delves into how significant they are, and what they mean in terms of evaluating pitchers. (more) Pitching to Contact and FIP

Did Wainwright and Carpenter Split the Vote? and other Cy Young Stories
3-dbaseball.net — In the wake of one of the tightest Cy Young races in recent memory, I address 3... of the hot debate points I've seen bandied about as controversies: 1.whether the two St. Louis pitchers split the vote; 2.whether the pitcher with the most 1st place votes should win; 3.the 2 ballots that left ... (more) Did Wainwright and Carpenter Split the Vote? and other ...
Converting OBP/SLG to wOBA
Converting OBP/SLG to wOBA
3-dbaseball.net — OPS is probably the most common of the new wave of statistics in baseball, but it is... not without its flaws. Is there a better way to combine OBP and SLG so that they better model runs? Like turn them into a wOBA-like number? There is - it's not pretty, but it's possible. Here's how it's done. (more) Converting OBP/SLG to wOBA

Found some old sketches
Found some old sketches
3-dbaseball.net — I found an old sketchbook of mine the other day with sketches I'd done of Ted Williams... and Stan Musial. Here are the scans. (more) Found some old sketches
Evaluating Pitchers with FIP, Part II
3-dbaseball.net — With the Cy Young races tight this year, every choice on how to evaluate pitcher performance can... change the conclusion. For many, the emphasis on evaluating what happened means excluding stats like FIP. Should it? Do these stats tell you what happened or just what is likely to happen going forward? (more) Evaluating Pitchers with FIP, Part II
Evaluating Pitchers with FIP, Part I
3-dbaseball.net — With the Cy Young races tight this year, every choice on how to evaluate pitcher performance can... change the conclusion. For many, the emphasis on evaluating what happened means excluding stats like FIP. Should it? Do these stats tell you what happened or just what is likely to happen going forward? (more) Evaluating Pitchers with FIP, Part I
Joe Mauer and Stealing Signs
3-dbaseball.net — Joe Mauer spurred a minor controversy when a fan posted a video on YouTube of him supposedly... stealing signs against the Tigers. Is the video really as clear as the poster seems to think, though? (more) Joe Mauer and Stealing Signs
The Difference Between Baseball and Football
3-dbaseball.net — The best Brett Favre has ever seen = the best of all time?... (more) The Difference Between Baseball and Football
Why Strikeouts Matter More for Pitchers
Why Strikeouts Matter More for Pitchers
3-dbaseball.net — A lot of fans struggle with the concept of caring more about strikeouts for pitchers than for... hitters. Does such a seemingly contradictory stance really make sense? This article argues that it does and takes an in-depth look at why. (more) Why Strikeouts Matter More for Pitchers

OPS by Position and Decade
3-dbaseball.net — This reference chart shows the OPS and OPS+ for each position, broken down by decade, in the... Retrosheet years (1954-2008). (more) OPS by Position and Decade

Lifetime Achievement MVPs?
3-dbaseball.net — The Wall Street Journal ran an article yesterday claiming that MVPs, like Oscars, are sometimes awarded to... undeserving candidates as a lifetime achievement award to make up for great players never winning one in the past (to justify Jeter's case, of course). Do MVPs really work that way, though? (more) Lifetime Achievement MVPs?
Discrediting Jose
3-dbaseball.net — Why Jose Canseco's latest claims of a steroid user in the Hall should mean absolutely nothing to... us. (more) Discrediting Jose
Garciaparra and Arroyo Speak up on Steroids
3-dbaseball.net — In the wake of more leaks from the list of 104 from 2003, two former teammates of... Ortiz and Manny speak up. This article addresses what we should take from their comments. (more) Garciaparra and Arroyo Speak up on Steroids
Andrew McCutchen's Rare Day
3-dbaseball.net — Andrew McCutchen's 3 home run night Saturday was particularly rare. In fact, only Dan Ford awaits to... welcome him to the club. (more) Andrew McCutchen's Rare Day

Searching for Steroids:  a Critique of the Evidence
Searching for Steroids: a Critique of the Evidence
3-dbaseball.net — With news of David Ortiz' positive test in 2003, should we really be surprised, given his transformation... upon arriving in Boston? The link between his performance and the positive test is less clear than you might think. (more) Searching for Steroids: a Critique of the Evidence
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