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mehmattski

mehmattski

Biology graduate student at Duke University, founder and lead author of The Immaculate Inning, a sports blog that focuses on baseball, Duke basketball, and the rare feats of sport.

Web Site: The Immaculate Inning

Claimed Blog: The Immaculate Inning

BallHype Member since June 16, 2008

Congrats to Ross Ohlendorf(and belatedly to A.J. Burnett)
Congrats to Ross Ohlendorf(and belatedly to A.J. Burnett)
immaculateinning.com — On Saturday, Ross Ohlendorf pitched an immaculate seventh inning against the Cardinals. You can watch it here. I'd have to defer to mehmattski on this, but I would bet that it's the first time that an Immaculate Inning has been throw where every strikeout was a dropped third strike. On June ... (more) Congrats to Ross Ohlendorf(and belatedly to A.J. Burnett)
Immaculate Inning: Daniel Bard
Immaculate Inning: Daniel Bard
immaculateinning.com — We at Immaculate Inning take a lot of pride in chronicling the rare feat which gives our blog its name; that is, striking out three batters in an inning using just nine pitches. It has only happened 41 times in major league history , but unfortunately we have no idea how common the feat is at ... (more) Immaculate Inning: Daniel Bard
Sweet Sixteen Predictions by Simulation
Sweet Sixteen Predictions by Simulation
immaculateinning.com — Now that I've taken a day to recover from watching some 40+ hours of basketball over the weekend, let's revisit the predictions made by my NCAA Tournament Simulator . Here's a link to bracket that I picked based on the highest number of average wins in the tournament . As you can see, the picks ... (more) Sweet Sixteen Predictions by Simulation
Progression of Final Four Chances
Progression of Final Four Chances
immaculateinning.com — At the Immaculate Inning we've been playing all week with different ways to present data generated by our NCAA Tournament simulation. Here is what I feel is the most dynamic view of things: after every set of games on both Thursday and Friday, I set the probability of the losing teams to "0" and ... (more) Progression of Final Four Chances
ACC Teams in NCAAT: Day 2
ACC Teams in NCAAT: Day 2
immaculateinning.com — Above is a real time progression of the Final Four chances and the number of average wins for the seven ACC teams using my NCAA Tournament simulation . Yesterday there were a number of interesting trends, including the downward trend of Carolina's Final Four chances despite crushing Radford ... (more) ACC Teams in NCAAT: Day 2
ACC Teams in NCAAT: Real Time Chances
ACC Teams in NCAAT: Real Time Chances
immaculateinning.com — Throughout the day, I'm going to re-simulate the NCAAT as each team loses. Then, I am going to plot for each ACC team, their chances of making the Final Four. The first update should be around 2:30 Eastern, and will definitely have implications for North Carolina. Check back here often to see ... (more) ACC Teams in NCAAT: Real Time Chances
Immaculate Inning Bracket
Immaculate Inning Bracket
immaculateinning.com — My NCAA tournament simulations have been the most popular thing I've ever done on Immaculate Inning. With the tournament starting in one hour, I thought I'd get my personal pics out there. First of all, here is the tournament, selected simply by picking the team with the most average wins in the ... (more) Immaculate Inning Bracket
Upset Special!
Upset Special!
immaculateinning.com — Hello again, welcome back to Immaculate Inning as we continue our week-long dive into the NCAA tournament, simulation style. In case you missed the posts, I've simulated the tournament one million times , and I've pulled from the data the most likely championship games and final fours . The link ... (more) Upset Special!
The Most Likely Final Four
The Most Likely Final Four
immaculateinning.com — Building on one million simulations of the NCAA tournament, here the most likely Final Four participants, and the most likely championship games, are presented and discussed. Have your brackets handy! (more) The Most Likely Final Four
NCAA Tournament Predictions Using Simulations
NCAA Tournament Predictions Using Simulations
immaculateinning.com — I used the log5 prediction method and efficiency ratings for each team to simulate the NCAA tournament 1 million times! This post is just the first in a week long look at the results. (more) NCAA Tournament Predictions Using Simulations
Updated ACC Tourney Probabilities
Updated ACC Tourney Probabilities
immaculateinning.com — With the first six games in the ACC Tournament complete, let's revisit the log5 predictions, which are based on tempo-free efficiency ratings accrued in ACC games only: These are up to date following FSU's escape of Georgia Tech in the second afternoon game. As you can see, North Carolina has ... (more) Updated ACC Tourney Probabilities
ACC Conference Play: Devourer of Stats
ACC Conference Play: Devourer of Stats
immaculateinning.com — A few weeks ago , I made a very critical post about the 2008-2009 Duke team. Having come off of a very poor stretch, the once promising Blue Devils seemed to be succumbing to conference play, with disastrous consequences. I concluded that Duke's pounding of non-conference foes was clouding our ... (more) ACC Conference Play: Devourer of Stats
AFC Playoff Scenarios
AFC Playoff Scenarios
immaculateinning.com — Breaking down the complex tiebreaking scenarios as the Dolphins, Patriots, and Jets all sit at 9-5 going into the seasons final two weeks. For extra credit, full work shown! (more) AFC Playoff Scenarios
Sabathia Victim of Obsolete Scoring System
Sabathia Victim of Obsolete Scoring System
immaculateinning.com — CC Sabathia dropped a ground ball in the sixth inning of Sunday's game, and it was ruled a hit by the official scorer. The Brewers think Sabathia was robbed; the Associated Press thinks the Brewers are nuts, and we think the whole official scorer thing needs to go. (more) Sabathia Victim of Obsolete Scoring System
What's Wrong: AJ Burnett
What's Wrong: AJ Burnett
immaculateinning.com — Some team is going to pay A.J. Burnett a lot of money this offseason. But if they don't look past Wins and Strikeouts, they will miss caution flags. This post examines the source of caution, using traditional stats, batted ball stats, and pitch f/x data, all boiled down for the casual reader. (more) What's Wrong: AJ Burnett
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