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mehmattski

mehmattski

Biology graduate student at Duke University, founder and lead author of The Immaculate Inning, a sports blog that focuses on baseball, Duke basketball, and the rare feats of sport.

Web Site: The Immaculate Inning

Claimed Blog: The Immaculate Inning

BallHype Member since June 16, 2008

Duke-Georgetown Tempo-Free Preview
immaculateinning.com - 10 days ago
Duke-Georgetown Tempo-Free Preview
— immaculateinning.com — Seven inches of powdery white stuff has fallen from the sky this morning, which means it's a... perfect time to stay home and analyze basketball statistics. From a tempo-free standpoint, today's game between Duke and Georgetown is an elite matchup. The Hoyas are ranked 15th in the nation by ... (more) Duke-Georgetown Tempo-Free Preview

Comments vote down mehmattski mehmattski posted 10 days agoposted this
Worst Duke Defensive Performances
immaculateinning.com - 18 days ago
Worst Duke Defensive Performances
— immaculateinning.com — It's been a while since we've done college basketball here, and I have a few things planned... for the coming months, including a systematic re-do of last year's tournament simulation. In the meantime, I want to nip any "Matt's a Duke fanboy" criticism in the proverbial bud by doing a negative post ... (more) Worst Duke Defensive Performances

Comments vote down mehmattski mehmattski posted 18 days agoposted this
2009 AFC Playoff Scenarios
immaculateinning.com - 12/28/2009
2009 AFC Playoff Scenarios
— immaculateinning.com — One year ago, we constructed a popular post about the playoff permutations in the AFC East. This... year, a logjam in the middle of the AFC leaves many meaningful games for week 17. It is possible that five teams could finish 9-7 (Jets, Denver, Baltimore, Pittsburgh, Houston). In this scenario, ... (more) 2009 AFC Playoff Scenarios

Comments vote down mehmattski mehmattski posted 12/28/2009posted this
Congrats to Ross Ohlendorf(and belatedly to A.J. Burnett)
immaculateinning.com - 9/7/2009
Congrats to Ross Ohlendorf(and belatedly to A.J. Burnett)
— immaculateinning.com — On Saturday, Ross Ohlendorf pitched an immaculate seventh inning against the Cardinals. You can watch it here.... I'd have to defer to mehmattski on this, but I would bet that it's the first time that an Immaculate Inning has been throw where every strikeout was a dropped third strike. On June ... (more) Congrats to Ross Ohlendorf(and belatedly to A.J. Burnett)

Comments vote down mehmattski mehmattski posted 9/7/2009posted this
Immaculate Inning: Daniel Bard
immaculateinning.com - 4/28/2009
Immaculate Inning: Daniel Bard
— immaculateinning.com — We at Immaculate Inning take a lot of pride in chronicling the rare feat which gives our... blog its name; that is, striking out three batters in an inning using just nine pitches. It has only happened 41 times in major league history , but unfortunately we have no idea how common the feat is at ... (more) Immaculate Inning: Daniel Bard

Comments vote down mehmattski mehmattski posted 4/28/2009posted this
Sweet Sixteen Predictions by Simulation
immaculateinning.com - 3/24/2009
Sweet Sixteen Predictions by Simulation
— immaculateinning.com — Now that I've taken a day to recover from watching some 40+ hours of basketball over the... weekend, let's revisit the predictions made by my NCAA Tournament Simulator . Here's a link to bracket that I picked based on the highest number of average wins in the tournament . As you can see, the picks ... (more) Sweet Sixteen Predictions by Simulation

Comments vote down mehmattski mehmattski posted 3/24/2009posted this
Progression of Final Four Chances
immaculateinning.com - 3/21/2009
Progression of Final Four Chances
— immaculateinning.com — At the Immaculate Inning we've been playing all week with different ways to present data generated by... our NCAA Tournament simulation. Here is what I feel is the most dynamic view of things: after every set of games on both Thursday and Friday, I set the probability of the losing teams to "0" and ... (more) Progression of Final Four Chances

Comments vote down mehmattski mehmattski posted 3/21/2009posted this
ACC Teams in NCAAT: Day 2
immaculateinning.com - 3/20/2009
ACC Teams in NCAAT: Day 2
— immaculateinning.com — Above is a real time progression of the Final Four chances and the number of average wins... for the seven ACC teams using my NCAA Tournament simulation . Yesterday there were a number of interesting trends, including the downward trend of Carolina's Final Four chances despite crushing Radford ... (more) ACC Teams in NCAAT: Day 2

Comments vote down mehmattski mehmattski posted 3/20/2009posted this
ACC Teams in NCAAT: Real Time Chances
immaculateinning.com - 3/19/2009
ACC Teams in NCAAT: Real Time Chances
— immaculateinning.com — Throughout the day, I'm going to re-simulate the NCAAT as each team loses. Then, I am going... to plot for each ACC team, their chances of making the Final Four. The first update should be around 2:30 Eastern, and will definitely have implications for North Carolina. Check back here often to see ... (more) ACC Teams in NCAAT: Real Time Chances

Comments vote down mehmattski mehmattski posted 3/19/2009posted this
Immaculate Inning Bracket
immaculateinning.com - 3/19/2009
Immaculate Inning Bracket
— immaculateinning.com — My NCAA tournament simulations have been the most popular thing I've ever done on Immaculate Inning. With... the tournament starting in one hour, I thought I'd get my personal pics out there. First of all, here is the tournament, selected simply by picking the team with the most average wins in the ... (more) Immaculate Inning Bracket

Comments vote down mehmattski mehmattski posted 3/19/2009posted this
Upset Special!
immaculateinning.com - 3/18/2009
Upset Special!
— immaculateinning.com — Hello again, welcome back to Immaculate Inning as we continue our week-long dive into the NCAA tournament,... simulation style. In case you missed the posts, I've simulated the tournament one million times , and I've pulled from the data the most likely championship games and final fours . The link ... (more) Upset Special!

Comments vote down mehmattski mehmattski posted 3/18/2009posted this
The Most Likely Final Four
immaculateinning.com - 3/17/2009
The Most Likely Final Four
— immaculateinning.com — Building on one million simulations of the NCAA tournament, here the most likely Final Four participants, and... the most likely championship games, are presented and discussed. Have your brackets handy! (more) The Most Likely Final Four

Comments vote down mehmattski mehmattski posted 3/17/2009posted this
NCAA Tournament Predictions Using Simulations
immaculateinning.com - 3/16/2009
NCAA Tournament Predictions Using Simulations
— immaculateinning.com — I used the log5 prediction method and efficiency ratings for each team to simulate the NCAA tournament... 1 million times! This post is just the first in a week long look at the results. (more) NCAA Tournament Predictions Using Simulations

Comments vote down mehmattski mehmattski posted 3/16/2009posted this
Updated ACC Tourney Probabilities
immaculateinning.com - 3/13/2009
Updated ACC Tourney Probabilities
— immaculateinning.com — With the first six games in the ACC Tournament complete, let's revisit the log5 predictions, which are... based on tempo-free efficiency ratings accrued in ACC games only: These are up to date following FSU's escape of Georgia Tech in the second afternoon game. As you can see, North Carolina has ... (more) Updated ACC Tourney Probabilities

Comments vote down mehmattski mehmattski posted 3/13/2009posted this
ACC Conference Play: Devourer of Stats
immaculateinning.com - 3/11/2009
ACC Conference Play: Devourer of Stats
— immaculateinning.com — A few weeks ago , I made a very critical post about the 2008-2009 Duke team. Having... come off of a very poor stretch, the once promising Blue Devils seemed to be succumbing to conference play, with disastrous consequences. I concluded that Duke's pounding of non-conference foes was clouding our ... (more) ACC Conference Play: Devourer of Stats

Comments vote down mehmattski mehmattski posted 3/11/2009posted this
AFC Playoff Scenarios
immaculateinning.com - 12/15/2008
AFC Playoff Scenarios
— immaculateinning.com — Breaking down the complex tiebreaking scenarios as the Dolphins, Patriots, and Jets all sit at 9-5 going... into the seasons final two weeks. For extra credit, full work shown! (more) AFC Playoff Scenarios

Comments vote down mehmattski mehmattski posted 12/15/2008posted this
Sabathia Victim of Obsolete Scoring System
immaculateinning.com - 8/31/2008
Sabathia Victim of Obsolete Scoring System
— immaculateinning.com — CC Sabathia dropped a ground ball in the sixth inning of Sunday's game, and it was ruled... a hit by the official scorer. The Brewers think Sabathia was robbed; the Associated Press thinks the Brewers are nuts, and we think the whole official scorer thing needs to go. (more) Sabathia Victim of Obsolete Scoring System

Comments vote down mehmattski mehmattski posted 8/31/2008posted this
What's Wrong: AJ Burnett
immaculateinning.com - 8/29/2008
What's Wrong: AJ Burnett
— immaculateinning.com — Some team is going to pay A.J. Burnett a lot of money this offseason. But if they... don't look past Wins and Strikeouts, they will miss caution flags. This post examines the source of caution, using traditional stats, batted ball stats, and pitch f/x data, all boiled down for the casual reader. (more) What's Wrong: AJ Burnett

Comments vote down mehmattski mehmattski posted 8/29/2008posted this
David Price, The Sequel
immaculateinning.com - 8/24/2008
David Price, The Sequel
— immaculateinning.com — Rays uberprospect David Price popped the radar gun but struggled in his third AAA start, lasting just... four innings on a beautiful day in Durham. See all the details; this time with pictures! (more) David Price, The Sequel

Comments vote down mehmattski mehmattski posted 8/24/2008posted this
Immaculate Inning: Pat Ragan
immaculateinning.com - 8/22/2008
Immaculate Inning: Pat Ragan
— immaculateinning.com — On October 5, 1914, Brooklyn's Pat Ragan became the third man to ever throw an Immaculate Inning... (nine pitches, all strikes). While the feat is historic, it was his showboating during the event which make it memorable. (more) Immaculate Inning: Pat Ragan

Comments vote down mehmattski mehmattski posted 8/22/2008posted this
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