POLITICS: Negative Momentum
Baseball Crank —
... That said, the Democrats do have to worry that to the extent that momentum is at all discernible in this race, their likely nominee has essentially negative momentum. Obama has faced the voters in seven states in the past 60 days, and here are the popular vote counts: ...
Al's Ramblings — Thursday, April 24, 2008 (4/24/2008 10:20:00 PM) - Al I must admit, after all the constant talk of "Obama leads the popular vote" (which I find especially amusing after 2000), I was unaware that Hillary is actually ahead , if you count the FL and MI elections, which were real elections, but carry a rather large "but". I think the best quote to come out of this was Susan Estrich, longtime Dem strategist and such, who helped come up with the current system: What were we thinking? ...
POLITICS: Obamomentum, West Virginia Edition
Baseball Crank —
... Attentive readers will note that some of the earlier states' vote totals have changed slightly; I'm using the RCP figures, which presumably got some late corrections on TX, PA, IN and NC. RCP also has the overall numbers, which mostly narrowly favor Obama, though it depends on what states you count; in any event, recall that ...
POLITICS: Obamomentum, Kentucky and Oregon Edition
Baseball Crank —
... (Source). In other words, even before we get to Puerto Rico, Obama is nearly half a million votes in the hole since the events of late February and early March (i.e., the 3am ad, the Goolsbee/NAFTA flap, and of course the Rev. Wright story). Now, let's look at turnout, using the same baseline as before (the number of votes in 2006 for House Democrats in the state) - this time, I'll just run the chart just for the same time period (the full chart and explanation of sources is ...
POLITICS: Obamomentum - End-of-the-Primaries Edition
Baseball Crank —
... ) of the Democratic presidential primary popular vote totals for the months of March, April, May and now June. (Source: RCP, except I used ...
