Blog Reactions
Bugs & Cranks: Baseball Belicheks?
The Sporting Blog: Shanoff's WUC: Belichick Made The Right Call
The Big Lead: Bill Belichick: Hubris or the Mathematical Move?
| @Townie813 Yes, but we'll always have this: RT @Townie813 @emmaspan... http://bit.ly/2E2Wwy 12/1/2009 |
| RT @tweetmeme Belichick’s decision to go for it on 4th and 2 from his team’s own 29 | Smart Football http://bit.ly/2E2Wwy 11/22/2009 |
| RT @smartfootball Belichick’s decision to go for it on 4th and 2 from his team’s own 29 | Smart Football http://bit.ly/2YkAFB 11/16/2009 |
Baseball Belicheks?
Bugs & Cranks —
... Of course there are some out there defending his playcall as “gutsy” and “giving his team the best chance to win.” ...
Shanoff's WUC: Belichick Made The Right Call
The Sporting Blog —
... Coaching decisions in the NFL are a mix of knowing the percentages and intuition based on experience. And the percentages said that the Pats were better off trying for two yards to secure the win — even in their own territory — than willingly giving the Colts back the ball, wherever. ...
Bill Belichick: Hubris or the Mathematical Move?
The Big Lead —
... 2) According to the math wizards, going for it is statistically the smart move. Two yards is essentially a 2-point conversion. ...
Surprise! Belicheck Going For It Was Smart Move
SPORTSbyBROOKS —
... watching the game slip away immediately afterwards is an unforgivably bad decision, yes? Well, not so much. Contrary to immediate intuition, it was, in fact, the Patriots’ best chance at winning the game. Here’s the thing: punting and going for it and failing accomplish the same thing: giving the ball back to the Colts. The only difference is where they get it on the field. Oh, Peyton Manning will accept your charity, no questions asked, but he certainly doesn’t need it. Let’s let SMART FOOTBALL explain : If you go for it, your chance of winning hinges on two outcomes: (a) ...
No One Remembers Shockdome
mgoblog —
... As you've probably heard, Bill Belichick went for a first down on fourth and two from his 29 with about two minutes left and his team leading by six points. The Patriots didn't get it, the Colts made the short march for the game-winning score, and commentators duly exploded at how awful the decision was. Tony Dungy evidently kept saying Belichick " ...
Alabama football: Wednesday news & links
Capstone Report —
... Belichick’s decision to go for it on 4th and 2 from his team’s own 29 ...
This Week in Sportswriting: Conventional Wisdom and Statistical Reasoning Conflict
The Sporting Blog —
... Simmons says there are only inane angles to the decision, then writes one of the more inane columns of his career. In trying to factor in his observations of Tim Thomas' lethargy, expectation of amnesty from speeding tickets in Seattle, and some homeriffic rantings about how Belichick being 57 means he has lost his brain, Simmons does the sort of mind-bending shotgun journalism even Malcolm Gladwell might blush at. Simmons is wrong about the decision, and woefully inept when it comes to using statistics to prove anything: He trumpets a stat about the number of times teams have ...
Yale falls to Harvard after truly ghastly fake punt faux pas
Dr. Saturday —
... coach Bill Belichick went with the numbers instead of the conventional wisdom by going for it on fourth down with the lead and the ball in his own territory last Sunday in his team's eventual loss to Indianapolis, it led to a fascinating round of debate over probabilities, "gut feelings" and how to think about risk-taking in more unorthodox, effective ways. ...
Yale falls to Harvard after ghastly fake punt faux pas
Dr. Saturday —
... instead of the conventional wisdom by going for it on fourth down with the lead and the ball in his own territory last Sunday in his team's eventual loss to Indianapolis, it led to a fascinating round of debate over probabilities, "gut feelings" and how to think about risk-taking in more unorthodox, effective ways. ...
Was Jeff Tedford Too Passive? Was Jim Harbaugh Too Aggressive?
California Golden Blogs —
... Now as Smart Football and Advanced NFL stats pointed out, going for it on 4th down at this range isn't that bad a call. The stats seem to favor going for it--at that range, ...
Sean Payton Introduces the NFL's New "Moneyball"
The Sporting Blog —
... to win was a "bold move" that "shocked the Raiders." Earlier this year, Bill Belichick was raked over the coals for taking a very David Romer approach—a correct one—to a late fourth and two against these very Colts. Today, Sean Payton's full-throttle coaching is in the headlines, and a revolution started with an economics paper has reached the point of no return. It's not just "bold": it's smart. If you doubt that Sean Payton had his face deep in these sorts of statistics, here's his estimate of the Saints' chances on the ...







