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Belichick’s decision to go for it on 4th and 2 from his team’s own 29
Belichick’s decision to go for it on 4th and 2 from his team’s own 29
I n tonight Colts-Patriots game, with the Pats up by 6 with just over two minutes to go, Belichick directed his team to go for it on fourth and two. Tom Brady threw a short pass to Kevin Faulk just past the first down marker, but he bobbled it, and the officials ruled that by the time he ...
Belichick's 4th Down Decision vs the Colts
Belichick's 4th Down Decision vs the Colts
advancednflstats.com — New England coach Bill Belichick is taking a lot of heat for his decision to attempt a... 4th down conversion late in the game against the Colts. Indianapolis came back to win in dramatic fashion. Was the decision a good one? With 2:00 left and the ... (more) Belichick's 4th Down Decision vs the Colts
Peter King: Bill Belichick made an uncharacteristic bad decision against Colts
Peter King: Bill Belichick made an uncharacteristic bad decision against Colts
sportsillustrated.cnn.com — NEW YORK -- Three o'clock in the morning, and I'm still rolling Bill Belichick's call around in... my head. I wonder how many people in New England aren't asleep yet ... and how many won't be able to sleep all night. (more) Peter King: Bill Belichick made an uncharacteristic bad ...
Shanoff's WUC: Belichick Made The Right Call
Shanoff's WUC: Belichick Made The Right Call
sportingnews.com — Today's Calls : Bill Belichick vs. Hindsight, Peyton Manning vs. Tom Brady, Adrian Peterson vs. Chris Johnson,... TCU vs. Texas, Brandon Jennings vs. Kareem Abdul-Jabbar, John Wall vs. Xavier Henry and More. The Opening Pitch: Bill Belichick made the ... (more) Shanoff's WUC: Belichick Made The Right Call
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Baseball Belicheks?
Bugs & Cranks — ... Of course there are some out there defending his playcall as “gutsy” and “giving his team the best chance to win.” ...

Shanoff's WUC: Belichick Made The Right Call
The Sporting Blog — ... Coaching decisions in the NFL are a mix of knowing the percentages and intuition based on experience. And the percentages said that the Pats were better off trying for two yards to secure the win — even in their own territory — than willingly giving the Colts back the ball, wherever. ...

Bill Belichick: Hubris or the Mathematical Move?
The Big Lead — ... 2) According to the math wizards, going for it is statistically the smart move. Two yards is essentially a 2-point conversion. ...

Surprise! Belicheck Going For It Was Smart Move
SPORTSbyBROOKS — ... watching the game slip away immediately afterwards is an unforgivably bad decision, yes? Well, not so much. Contrary to immediate intuition, it was, in fact, the Patriots’ best chance at winning the game. Here’s the thing: punting and going for it and failing accomplish the same thing: giving the ball back to the Colts. The only difference is where they get it on the field. Oh, Peyton Manning will accept your charity, no questions asked, but he certainly doesn’t need it. Let’s let SMART FOOTBALL explain : If you go for it, your chance of winning hinges on two outcomes: (a) ...

No One Remembers Shockdome
mgoblog — ... As you've probably heard, Bill Belichick went for a first down on fourth and two from his 29 with about two minutes left and his team leading by six points. The Patriots didn't get it, the Colts made the short march for the game-winning score, and commentators duly exploded at how awful the decision was. Tony Dungy evidently kept saying Belichick " ...

Alabama football: Wednesday news & links
Capstone Report — ... Belichick’s decision to go for it on 4th and 2 from his team’s own 29 ...

This Week in Sportswriting: Conventional Wisdom and Statistical Reasoning Conflict
The Sporting Blog — ... Simmons says there are only inane angles to the decision, then writes one of the more inane columns of his career. In trying to factor in his observations of Tim Thomas' lethargy, expectation of amnesty from speeding tickets in Seattle, and some homeriffic rantings about how Belichick being 57 means he has lost his brain, Simmons does the sort of mind-bending shotgun journalism even Malcolm Gladwell might blush at. Simmons is wrong about the decision, and woefully inept when it comes to using statistics to prove anything: He trumpets a stat about the number of times teams have ...

Yale falls to Harvard after truly ghastly fake punt faux pas
Dr. Saturday — ... coach Bill Belichick went with the numbers instead of the conventional wisdom by going for it on fourth down with the lead and the ball in his own territory last Sunday in his team's eventual loss to Indianapolis, it led to a fascinating round of debate over probabilities, "gut feelings" and how to think about risk-taking in more unorthodox, effective ways. ...

Yale falls to Harvard after ghastly fake punt faux pas
Dr. Saturday — ... instead of the conventional wisdom by going for it on fourth down with the lead and the ball in his own territory last Sunday in his team's eventual loss to Indianapolis, it led to a fascinating round of debate over probabilities, "gut feelings" and how to think about risk-taking in more unorthodox, effective ways. ...

Was Jeff Tedford Too Passive? Was Jim Harbaugh Too Aggressive?
California Golden Blogs — ... Now as Smart Football and Advanced NFL stats pointed out, going for it on 4th down at this range isn't that bad a call. The stats seem to favor going for it--at that range, ...

Sean Payton Introduces the NFL's New "Moneyball"
The Sporting Blog — ... to win was a "bold move" that "shocked the Raiders." Earlier this year, Bill Belichick was raked over the coals for taking a very David Romer approach—a correct one—to a late fourth and two against these very Colts. Today, Sean Payton's full-throttle coaching is in the headlines, and a revolution started with an economics paper has reached the point of no return. It's not just "bold": it's smart. If you doubt that Sean Payton had his face deep in these sorts of statistics, here's his estimate of the Saints' chances on the ...

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Belichick’s 4th & 2 Gambit = Early Xmas For Ron Borges!
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Wake N’ Blog For November 16th: It Would Have Been Better If One Of The Overdue Books Was ‘Tropic Of Cancer’
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Former Patriots S Rodney Harrison Slams Bill Belichick For 4th Down Call
mkrob.com 11/16/2009 — Former Patriots safety Rodney Harrison said Bill Belichick’s doomed decision to go for it on fourth down against the Colts on Sunday night was “the worst decision” in his coaching career. Belichick authorized Tom Brady to throw on fourth down at the ...
Bigger Idiot: Phil Mickelson at Winged Foot or Bill Belichick Last Night?
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Indianapolis Colts Head Coach Jim Caldwell on Bill Belichick: “He knows what he’s doing”
indyfootballreport.com 11/16/2009 — Indianapolis Colts Head Coach Jim Caldwell wasn’t second-guessing Bill Belichick Monday. Belichick, the New England Patriots’ head coach, surprised many by opting to go for a first down on 4th-and-2 from the Patriots 28 with a six-point lead with just over two minutes remaining in a ...
Did Belichick make the right call?
readandreact.net 11/16/2009 — It's okay Bill. The numbers have your back. (Image: Detroit4lyfe.com) The sports world has collectively been piling on Bill Belichick for his decision to go for it on 4th & 2 from his own 28-yard line with a 6-point lead and 2:08 to go in last night’s Patriots/Colts clash . (the ...
Mailbag and Mishmash
18to88.com 11/17/2009 — Random thoughts that wouldn't fit anywhere else... First an email from Brian H: I have a question concerning what constitutes forward progress on the 4th and 2 play from Sunday night's Colts/Patriots game. If a player has his momentum carrying him backwards before he has possession of ...
PATS on the Back: Patriots vs. Colts, Week 10
sportsofboston.com 11/18/2009 — You probably didn’t think fumbles could happen from the sidelines, did ya? Well Sunday night in Indianapolis, that’s exactly what happened. Coach Bill Belichick, the infallible one himself, figuratively fumbled the game away, opting to go for the first down on 4th-and-2 , at their own 28 yard ...
Bill Belichick Goes Brain Dead in Loss to ColtsYou Been Blinded - Now in Dazzling HD
I’ve never seen “The Book” but I’m pretty damn sure it says you should punt if up six with two minutes to go in the game and facing a fourth and two from your own 29. Bill Belichick said F the book Sunday night in Indianapolis. The Colts were marching down the field with ...