FOOTBALL OUTSIDERS: Football analysis and NFL stats for the Moneyball era - Authors of Pro Football Prospectus 2006 and 2005

Links (13)

Damn you NFL for giving me nothing to write about! -or- more fun with Darrell Jackson
Published 4/16/2007 by John Morgan <info@fieldgulls.com> at Field Gulls: Front Page Posts
... that can go from 0 to career threatening in one play. Vincent Jackson is entering his third season in the NFL and has the markings of a break out candidate, but the Chargers could really use an established play maker and red zone threat at second wide out. San Diego's division looks to be craptacular in 2007, with Larry Johnson primed for a break down on an ancient offense, Oakland being Oakland and god-knows-what Denver is doing. The title is once again San Diego's for the taking.

Larry Johnson is Available
Published 4/24/2007 by Brandon <info@acmepackingcompany.com> at Acme Packing Company: Front Page Posts
... However Johnson hit a major milestone in 2006. He passed the 400 carry barrier. Aaron Schatz wrote the book on the Curse of 370:

How Would LJ Look In Titans Colors?
Published 4/24/2007 by JJ Cooper at FanHouse
... ranks as one of the heaviest workloads in NFL history . Football Outsiders has documented how running backs who get more than 370 carries in a season are more likely to lose some explosiveness or suffer injuries in the following seasons, even if they are relatively young. If you want some examples, check out the careers of

2006 Season Review: Shaun Alexander
Published 5/15/2007 by John Morgan <info@fieldgulls.com> at Field Gulls: Front Page Posts
... Alexander became the latest in a long line of running backs that suffered injury after topping 370 regular season carries in the preceding season. The good news is that it wasn't his knee. The bad news is that it was his foot--an injury that can be similarly debilitating. Recent reports indicate Alexander's foot is never likely to fully heal, but that the crack in his foot, as it is now, shouldn't affect his play.

Fantasy Preview: the Kansas City Chiefs
Published 6/25/2007 by Pacifist Viking at Pacifist Viking
... last season. Here is what Football Outsiders has found about running backs that have over 370 rushing attempts in one season: "A running back with 370 or more carries during the regular season will usually suffer either a major injury or loss of effectiveness the following year, unless he is named Eric Dickerson." ...

The Debriefing: Too Early for Fantasy Football? Yes? Well, I'm Doing It Anyway
Published 6/26/2007 by mjd at FanHouse
... Why? 370. Specifically, the "Curse of 370." ...

Debate With Self: Ahman Green
Published 7/1/2007 by Stephanie Stradley at FanHouse
... , especially those who have had lots of carries. How many situations are there where a 30 year old running back changes teams and makes an instant impact for that team? (minor shiny happy interruption: Doug Drinen at Pro-Football-Reference.com had an article a while back that noted that the ...

Morning Update (Sign LJ Edition)
Published 7/24/2007 by Chris <info@arrowheadpride.com> at Arrowhead Pride: Front Page Posts

The Big Long Post About Shaun Alexander
Published 9/24/2007 by John Morgan <info@fieldgulls.com> at Field Gulls: Front Page Posts

Coach Killers, Week 5: Larry Johnson Will Need 542 Carries to Match His 2006 Output
Published 10/8/2007 by Ryan Wilson at FanHouse

Morning Paper: Shanahan Is a Genius
Published 10/8/2007 by Larry Brown at Larry Brown Sports

Around the Blogosphere: Get Your Cameras Ready, Jeff Reed Is Bar Hopping
Published 10/12/2007 by JJ Cooper at FanHouse

Keep Adrian Peterson Fresh
Published 10/15/2007 by Pacifist Viking at Pacifist Viking
... has found convincing data showing that overusing running backs diminishes their effectiveness. We want Adrian Peterson running wild for the Vikings for the next ten seasons. That means that in ...