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studes posted by studes vote down flag
mvn.com - 4/3/2008
How to make your team better by firing your third base coach
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Tremendous analysis by Pizza Cutter, showing how conservative coaches and managers tend to be, and how much it costs their teams.

Blog Reactions

The Hardball Times:  THT Live: Fire the third base coach

THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball:  Sending the runner from 3B

Friar Forecast:  Friday links

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Blog Reactions

THT Live: Fire the third base coach
The Hardball Times — Fire the third base coach by Dave Studeman April 03, 2008 Here's a great analysis by Pizza Cutter over at the Statistically Speaking blog . Cutter takes a hard look at sacrifice fly decisions by third base coaches and finds that coaches are so conservative in their decisions that they are probably costing close to 100 runs a season. It's a very thorough analysis, and a great example of how coaches, managers and probably even players tend to be too conservative when making in-game decisions. Dave is the manager of the ...

Sending the runner from 3B
THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball — Pizza takes a look at how successful teams were at sending the runners or no. Pizza: more data!  Can you tell us by zones how often runners from 3B went for home, and how successful they were?  Basically, create a chart similar to this: http://tangotiger.net/destmob1.html , but make it zone-based (some 15 or so), rather than by out/hit-type.

Friday links
Friar Forecast — A bullet-point, abbreviated edition: Cust Eats Fastballs for Lunch — This is what happens when Mike Fast takes on hitters …. Tango’s Clutch project – Tango talks about his clutch project at HBT. How important is the narrative? – Great post on WPA and clutchness. Third Base coaches — The usual cool work from Pizza Cutter. MVP candidates — Melvin reports that the Pads have had a player in the top 10 of each MVP race since ‘04. Didn’t know that. ...

None More Epic
Ducksnorts — ... In an environment where runs are scarce, taking the extra base where possible makes sense, but only insofar as you’ve got guys who are capable of doing it. Lack of team speed is a problem for this club. There are other ways to make Petco Park work for you (see 2007), but right now the Padres aren’t exercising those, which makes their general sluggishness on the bases more of an issue than it otherwise might be. I’m not sure that ...