John Hollinger's Playoff Odds
79| Third Quarter Collapse: Front Page Posts found this 12/6/2007 on sports.espn.go.com [flag] |
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NBA
John Hollinger
Comments (7)
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Jason +5Golden State: 99.0% chance of making playoffs, 3.8% chance of winning title. I'll take it!-
tykeenan I would too. Unfortunately, his description suggests that the model doesn't project the possibility of Baron's hamstring falling off.
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char6587 hmm...
san antonio: 9.8% chance of winning the title
boston : 42.6% chance of winning the title
not sure how seriously we should take these...
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Ben Q. Rock I think New York's 1.7% chance of making the playoffs is more dubious. Shouldn't it be lower?
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Patrick Any projection system that gives any team a 100% chance of making the playoffs at this point in the season needs to be retooled.-
la287 I've got agree with that, but I'll decide to disagree that my Jazz are a 99% lock for the playoffs...
However, I think it's really far from close to being accurate...which I think has already been decided.
It points out the obvious very well (like the Spurs making the playoffs), but aside from the Pacific Division, can you really guarantee a 94+% of the Jazz, Spurs, Magic, Pistons, and Celtics winning their divisions?
There's not even a 1-in-500 chance the Nuggets catch up to the Jazz and win the division?
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truthaboutit Get this....as of today's changes, the Atlanta Hawks are an 8th seed.
Thing is...this may be good at predicting who makes the playoffs because that is determined by the regular season and this uses regular season #s....but throw all that out once the playoffs start.
And that's why using reg. season numbers as a basis for who will win the NBA finals is bunk.
Links (79)
Orlando Magic News for December 6th - Magic Have 14.6% Chance of Winning the NBA Title
Published 12/6/2007 by Ben Q Rock <info@thirdquartercollapse.com> at Third Quarter Collapse: Front Page Posts
... : John Hollinger's new Playoff Predictor projects that the Magic's final record will be 60-22, that the Magic have a 100% chance of making the playoffs, a 100% chance of winning the division, a 17.6% chance of capturing the East's no. 1 seed, a 23% chance of winning the East finals, and a 14.6% chance of winning the NBA title. Holy crap! ...
They probably didn’t need fancy machines for McLovins
Published 12/6/2007 by RandBall at Randball
... Based on this supercomputer wizardry, Hollinger has concluded that your Timberwolves — known somewhat affectionately here as the McLovins — have a … wait for it … 0.0 percent chance of making the playoffs this year. Brilliant! He pegs them for 19 wins, which also sounds just about right. But wait, there’s more: We love the “worst-case scenario” by which the McLovins would win a whopping 8 games ...
John Hollinger's New Formula, "WTF"
Published 12/6/2007 by Jack at The Shamrock Headband
So ESPN's resident hoopsnerd John Hollinger, apparently bored by the proceedings of the season thus far, has invented something called "Hollinger's Playoff Odds 2007-08." You can read JH's explanation of it ...
Hollinger Playoff Odds
Published 12/6/2007 by Scott Henneboehle at Wolves Watch
... John Hollinger over at ESPN has put all of the teams in the NBA into a computer and calculated the odds of each team making the playoffs. Basically, he uses his current power rankings and replays the remainder of the season 5000 times, tabulating the results at the end. You can check it out here: John Hollinger Playoff Odds ...
Well that didn't take long...
Published 12/6/2007 by JakeTheSnake <info@bulletsforever.com> at Bullets Forever: Front Page Posts
Remember when Hollinger said the Wizards would only get 33 wins this year? Based on his new Playoff Odds tracker, it looks like he's changed his mind. According to the predictor, it looks like the Wizards now have a 98.6% chance of making the playoffs this year, with a projected record of 44-38.
Links of the 6th
Published 12/6/2007 by Bret LaGree at Hoopinion
ESPN.com unveiled John Hollinger's new toy today: The Playoff Predictor. As of today, 3,000 out of 5,000 times the Hawks make the playoffs. I'm guessing that they'll need to beat Minnesota tonight and Memphis on Saturday to maintain that rate. ...
Expert: Zero Chance Kings Win Title
Published 12/6/2007 by TZ <info@sactownroyalty.com> at Sactown Royalty: Front Page Posts
... but John Hollinger's playoff prediction machine gives the Kings a 9.9% chance of making the playoffs, with the caveat no one told the machine Kevin Martin's groin is in disrepair. ...
Mortal Locks
Published 12/6/2007 by BigMck at RedsArmy.com: The Voice Of Celtics Fans
... We here at Redsarmy.com are pretty high on the Celtics chances this season. I’m supremely confident the Green will, at the very least, win the Eastern Conference. But the folks over at ESPN are proclaiming us mortal locks to win the NBA championship. Check out John Hollinger’s new Playoff Predictor. It’s staggering. I’m still drooling. ...
Clips Safely Return to NBA Void
Published 12/6/2007 by Tom Ziller at FanHouse
... kept playing instead of resting his gnarly groin, with little nothing to show for it, as Clips Nation details. Maggette returned after only one week off; the Clippers, however, have not been able to escape a seven-game losing streak. Since a 4-0 start, LAC has thrown up a 2-11 record... despite Chris Kaman improbably invoking the holy legend of Bob McAdoo this season. Elgin Baylor is left with a conundrum at this point; the playoffs can be seen only in hallucination, and Elton Brand's latest timetable points to February for a ...
Pacers Rely On Value Of Team Not Individuals
Published 12/7/2007 by Cornrows
... John Hollinger's Playoff Odds have the Pacers finishing at 41-41 and earning the 6th seed in the Eastern Conference, as of Dec. 6th. The daily odds are based on a computer program that plays all of the games remaining in the season 5,000 times. The averages of those results set the odds. So, the results give the Pacers a 93.4% chance of making the playoffs and a .01% chance of making the NBA Finals. Those should be interesting numbers to follow throughout the season. ...
Pistons have the playoffs locked up …
Published 12/7/2007 by Matt Watson at Detroit Bad Boys
… at least, they do if you believe John Hollinger:
That’s from this page, which I encourage you to not only check out but also bookmark for future reference. I know some people aren’t the biggest fans of Hollinger or statistical analysis in general, but I’ve always found him interesting, even if I don’t always agree.
Personally, I happen to agree with his assessment that a playoff spot for Detroit is a foregone conclusion. I’m also confident they’ll win the division, but 100% ...
Daily Links 12/7
Published 12/7/2007 at CelticsBlog
Herald Scal waits for shot Globe Big 3 Sportscenter Garnett won't make the transition MetroWest Daily Celtics reserves show their worth Celtics.com Post Ups notebook - practice update Celtics Blog Q&A with Raptors HQ LOY's Place Celtics, biggest tests are yet to come ESPN Hollinger playoff odds ESPN Insider Big Baby tops Hollinger's rookie PER ratings Red's Army Is there regret in Toronto? National Post Raptors Notebook, Bosh, Bargnani won't play Sun Times Storybook beginning for the Celtics ...
Today’s Links 12/7
Published 12/7/2007 by FLCeltsFan at Celtics247.com
...
Globe Big 3 Sportscenter
Garnett won’t make the transition
MetroWest Daily Celtics reserves show their worth
Celtics.com Post Ups notebook - practice update
Celtics Blog Q&A with Raptors HQ
LOY’s Place Celtics, biggest tests are yet to come
ESPN Hollinger playoff odds
ESPN Insider Big Baby tops ...
Playoff Predictor???
Published 12/7/2007 by The GM at Arin It Out
... I don't know about anyone else, but I am tired of John Hollinger and his ridiculous formulas. Why ESPN keeps him on the payroll is beyond me. His latest stroke of genius (sarcasm) is the "playoff predictor." Yes, it is exactly like it sounds. He is predicting which NBA teams will make the playoffs. Say what?? You needed a formula to tell you who has the best chance at making the playoffs? ...
John Hollinger Has Odds
Published 12/7/2007 by Jack Cobra at YAYsports! NBA
... . Since he likes to shove his mathematical expertise in the face of the rest of us, he’s come out with the odds for each NBA team to make the playoffs (bookmark to keep up the rest of the season). ...
Your daily DC pro sports report
Published 12/7/2007 by Spence at DC Pro Sports Report -- Sports news, stats and analysis from the capital of the free world
... The Bullets are 5th in the East and according to John Hollinger’s playoff predictor, they’ve got a 98.5 percent chance of making the playoffs. I like those odds. ...
43.4
Published 12/7/2007 by Alessandro at Parquet Wishes and Leprechaun Dreams
John Hollinger has a new toy up on ESPN.Com, the 2007-08 NBA Playoff Predictor (sports.espn.go.com) ... The Hollinger Power Rankings are a measure of each team's performance in the season so far. Based on those rankings, each day the computer plays out the remainder of the season 5,000 times to see the potential range of projected outcomes. The results reveal the most likely win-loss record for each team -- and how likely it is for each team to make the playoffs, win the NBA title, win the lottery, and so on.For those of you curious, the Celtics ...
John Hollinger invents something dumb.
Published 12/8/2007 by Brett at The Bratwurst - Milwaukee Bucks Blog
... Normally, I think John Hollinger puts out some of the most interesting reading about the NBA that there is. He does a great job of using his statistical analysis to make his real-world observations objective, and he’s a pretty humorous writer, as well. Learning about PER is what inspired me to take the fantasy basketball scoring system I had come up with and fine-tune it into IPM.
That said, Hollinger’s new ESPN Playoff Odds Calculator has to be one of the stupidest things I have ever seen.
Essentially, the calculator inputs Hollinger’s ...
Hollinger’s Computer Hates the Nuggets
Published 12/8/2007 by Nugg Doctor at The Nugg Doctor
... (Boulder-CO) I’ll be the first to admit that I am a little bit frustrated with the Denver Nuggets so far this season. John Hollinger’s new computer generated measuring stick seemingly just hates them. Just look at this bizarre, Vegas style odds article if you need some more proof. ...
Bobcats preview + Press clippings
Published 12/9/2007 by pistonsnation at PistonsNationBlog.com
... ranks #17 among rookie according to John Hollinger’s PER ratings, Hollinger also calculates that the ‘Stonz have a 100% chance of making the Playoffs. I’m not a betting man, but I like them odds. ...
The Weak Bench Myth Debunked
Published 12/9/2007 by ManchvegasBob at Celtics 17
... Note: In a move akin to a referee’s make-up call, NBA Hollinger Playoff Odds 2007-08 put the odds of the Celtics as being the champs at 62%. Thanks for your support John! ...
Sixers Crash Rockets in Philly
Published 12/11/2007 by Sean Watts at Passion and Pride
... needed to create that pace wears down your players, which causes lapses late in games. This team has gotten off to big leads in other games before going stagnant later and allowing teams to come back. Now, players such as Iguodala, Dalembert and Miller are much fresher for the second half, which has been a key to them putting teams away in the 3rd quarter in each of the last two games. If they keep this up, we might be talking playoffs. Think I’m crazy? Well, ESPN’s John Hollinger would disagree with you . If things go as he’s projected, the Sixers would face the Celtics in ...
PREVIEW: “Groundswell” Game Tonight vs. T-Wolves?
Published 12/12/2007 by Sean Watts at Passion and Pride
... for the Sixers. The Andres and Willie Green have seemed to raise their games recently. Thaddeus Young and Jason Smith are improving every game. Kyle Korver’s stroke appears to be back as well. Hopefully, their recent success will fill them with a confidence that serve them well. They seem to be having fun too, which is very big. If they can ride the momentum to play good basketball tonight and Friday, maybe we can look at Saturday at LeBron’s House as a statement game. “We talking Playoffs ?” Maybe, you just never know. This entry was posted on Wednesday, December 12th, 2007 ...
Speaking Of Bling
Published 12/13/2007 by Hot Shit College Student at Thank You Isiah
... Hollinger's basketball super computer projects a 36 win season for the Bulls. I wish it had odds on me watching a 36 win team. I'll wait the suckiness out. Movie rentals come via the mail now, and I haven't read the second Bruce Campbell book yet.
Better, Stronger, Faster NBA Playoff Odds
Published 12/13/2007 by Patrick at Give Me The Rock
... John Hollinger recently came out with his NBA Hollinger Playoff Odds for 2007-08 (I take no responsibility for that title). Using the power rankings that he developed for ESPN, the remainder of the season is simulated 5,000 times to “reveal the most likely win-loss record for each team — and how likely it is for each team to make the playoffs, win the NBA title, win the lottery, and so on.” ...
Trail Blazers Run It To Seven [Nba Closer]
Published 12/17/2007 by Skeets at Deadspin
... • Ring The Bells And Sound The Alarm! The current chances of Boston posting a 72-10 record or better are 8.1 percent. They also have a 100% chance at making the playoffs. I think they just might. Paul Pierce scored 18 points, Kevin Garnett had 16 and the Celtics extended their winning streak to nine games by beating the Raptors 90-77. The start of the second half was delayed because of a leaky vent in the ceiling of the Air Canada Centre, leaving water dripping onto the floor. But don't worry; ...
Pistons Hype, Day 2: Why They’re Better
Published 12/18/2007 by redsarmy at RedsArmy.com: The Voice Of Celtics Fans
... C’s go | MLive.com: Celtics start familiar to Pistons | DetNews.com: Thibodeau changed Celtics fortunes | Washington Post: The Doc is in for the Celtics | CBS: Time to find out if the Celtics are for real | Power Rankings: #1 on ESPN | #1 on Hoopsworld | #2 on SI | Hollinger’s updated playoff odds (we’re still awesome) | Daily ...
Tuesday Bullets
Published 12/18/2007 at ESPN.com - True Hoop - Blog
... I'm sure I'm misusing statistics 100 ways here, but for fun, let me point out that after beating New Orleans last night to stretch the win streak to eight, according to John Hollinger's playoff predictor, the Blazers are now three times more likely to win the NBA Finals (1.2%) than they are to win the lottery (0.4%). ...
Pacer Pride
Published 12/20/2007 by Deshawn Zombie at 18 to 88
... , but it seems a tad misguided. He claims the team won't make the playoffs (or that he's not convinced they will), but the odds seem pretty good. John Hollinger's playoff odds page on ESPN likes the Pacers, and even says that if they played this season 1000 times, the Pacers would win the title...once. ...
Hold the Phone There, Blazer Fans
Published 12/20/2007 at ESPN.com - True Hoop - Blog
... People are fired up in Portland. A nine-game winning streak. Some Hollinger stats saying the team is likely to make the playoffs. And ...
Thursday Burn
Published 12/20/2007 by Sean Meagher at Blazers Blog - OregonLive.com
Here's some links to keep you busy. In his playoff odds, ESPN.com's John Hollinger puts the Blazers at 44.3 % of making the post season . It seems like this system runs off averages, so his projected final record for Portland, currently, is 43-39. Adding a possible best of 58-24, and worst of 31-51. Your 'Word O' the Day' Blazer fans is ...
Game #27 Recap - Blazers 99, Nuggets 96
Published 12/22/2007 by Houston at The Inferno
... . Just look at Hollinger’s Playoff Odds for goodness sake, which gives the Blazers a 60% chance of making the tournament, better than teams like the Rockets, Bulls and Cavaliers. If they Blazers were in the east, they’d be the 4th seed right now. By the way, the Blazers were 12-15 at this point last year. ...
Tonight's Game: Boston Celtics vs. Orlando Magic - Open Thread
Published 12/23/2007 by Ben Q Rock <info@thirdquartercollapse.com> at Third Quarter Collapse: Front Page Posts
... 4. I'm sure you've seen John Hollinger's Playoff Odds doohickey at ESPN. The simulator gives the Celtics a 10% chance of posting a record of 72-10 or better and a 61% chance of winning the NBA title. How much stock do you put into that? ...
It’s Not Bragging if It’s True
Published 12/31/2007 by Jack Cobra at YAYsports! NBA
... It’s not bragging if it’s true and since the Celtics haven’t won a championship in quite some time, this is a good way to remind people that….they are one of the, if not the, most storied franchises in the NBA. With the way the Celtics are playing this season, there might be another patch going on there in May. ...
Hawks Ready to Begin New Year
Published 1/2/2008 by Chase Kuech at Impending Firestorm
... The big question for 2008 is do the Hawks actually have the ability to make the playoffs this season. John Hollinger gives the Hawks over a 90% chance to make the playoffs this year, something people would have laughed at 2 months ago. But heading into 2008, the Hawks are in 5th position in the East and have been playing well consistently this season. Their defense has been better and their offense has been able to constantly threaten 100 points on any given night. Josh Smith has been a monster this season, filling up the stat sheet and playing like a man ...
The Lull
Published 1/3/2008 by Deshawn Zombie at 18 to 88
... than they did during the NE game and in the Super Bowl. Hence, I tend not to worry about it. Demond favors an aggressive step of adding Mathis, the Zombie and Bethea back onto the special teams as the Colts did at times during last year's playoffs. For me, that issue comes down to health. If guys are sound physically, ok, but where we really need them is on defense. In other news: The Pacers' playoff odds have dropped under 70%. Hmmm, nice calculations guys. Weren't ...
Route 66%
Published 1/5/2008 by kambrothers at Lakers Blog
... foe, something they've struggled to do over the last season or two. Given the gaggle of weak sister opponents they'll see over the next ten days , it's a habit they'll be happy to break. The Lakers were happy to have a bounce back game, and particularly happy to see one from Andrew Bynum, who showed a little more polish in the post while still energizing the crowd with some big time dunks . A few more of these robust box scores , and L.A.'s place in John Hollinger's fancy playoff projections will get even better.
Updated NBA Playoff Odds - 1/7/08
Published 1/7/2008 by Patrick at Give Me The Rock
... using a program to simulate the remainder of the season. This was in response to John Hollinger’s Playoff Odds on ESPN.com. I didn’t really like what I saw in his simulation (Look at the percentage of the time Boston or Detroit wins the championship), so I set out to see if I could do something better. And not only is it better, it’s now updated. Here are the new odds based on play through 1/6 and 10,000 simulated seasons using the remaining schedule. ...
Ranking the Blazers
Published 1/7/2008 by Sean Meagher at Blazers Blog - OregonLive.com
New week, new rankings ... Marc Stein of ESPN.com, Blazers down one spot from 7 to 8: Don't be so sure that the Blazers' seven-game trip will ruin the fairy tale. Portland is 5-1 on the road during this astonishing 16-1 run. And its only road losses since Thanksgiving were at Dallas, San Antonio and Utah. John Hollinger, also of ESPN.com, has the Blazers at No. 12. Portland's playoff odds dropped slightly, despite three-straight wins, to 61%. Blazers hold pat in the latest USA Today ranks at No. 5 And Martell Webster gets the nod for his performance in ...
Am I Reading This Wrong?
Published 1/8/2008 by dak at FIRE JOE MORGAN
... But! I know -- or I'm pretty sure -- that the Suns, Spurs, and Mavericks have better than a combined 3.7% chance of winning the NBA title. This is what John Hollinger is telling me, with his new NBA Playoff Odds Report. ...
Daily Links 1/8
Published 1/8/2008 at CelticsBlog
Herald House keys C's bench Globe Greatness is measured only one way Celtics.com Big Baby working through NBA growing pains CelticsBlog When will this train slow down? LOY's Place Home or away? Celtics 17 Everybody's getting chippy against the Celtics NBA.com Power Rankings - Celtics back on top Celtics man on the street ESPN Power Rankings - Celtics on top here too Playoff odds Hollinger puts Celtics second SI.com Celtics top this Power Ranking too NY Post Big Baby's breakout ...
Today’s Links 1/8
Published 1/8/2008 by FLCeltsFan at Celtics247.com
... through NBA growing pains
CelticsBlog When will this train slow down?
LOY’s Place Home or away?
Celtics 17 Everybody’s getting chippy against the Celtics
NBA.com Power Rankings - Celtics back on top
Celtics man on the street
ESPN Power Rankings - Celtics on top here too
Playoff odds
Hollinger puts Celtics second
SI.com ...
Player of the D.A.Y.
Published 1/8/2008 by Sam Rubenstein at SLAM Online
... More bad news for the Spurs, according to John Hollinger’s latest invention, San Antonio has a 0.2% chance of winning the championship. That’s 2 out of 1000, not even 100. It’s based on if they keep playing how they’ve been playing, but still… come on. I learned about this from ...
Lakers #1 in West in Hollinger playoff odds
Published 1/11/2008 by LD2k at The Lakers Nation
Interesting stuff for you number guys. And even if you aren’t a number guy, these are positive results from a positive basketball team. This year, the Lakers are proving to be a special group.
ESPN: The following has been caculated about the Lakers:
57 wins
30% chance for Finals
10% chance for Championship
Hollinger’s stats are what they are, but it’s nice to see they’re doing well in a quantifiable way. Point ...
Pop fools national media with recent slump
Published 1/23/2008 by David Thiessen at Spur of the Moment
... and playoff predictor. His power rankings have the Spurs at 10th, just behind the Gilbert Arenas-less Wizards. Now that is a sentence I never thought I would have to type. His playoff predictor estimates that the Spurs will finish 50-32 and earn the sixth seed, setting up a juicy 3-6 match up with Phoenix. Talk about an interesting first round battle. ...
Dead in the Water
Published 1/25/2008 by Deshawn Zombie at 18 to 88
... point, you have to be at an utter loss to explain this team. Unfortunately, they are built around a star with bad knees and a point guard who has made a career out of being inconsistent. They traded guys with real talent who caused trouble for a collection of junk. Just a month ago, they were a virtual playoff lock, but after losing almost constantly, they find themselves tied for the 8th spot, and just a half game out of 10th. Hollinger is still apparently smoking crack, because he thinks they have a 67% chance at the playoffs. If they can ever manage to win 3 of 5, ...
Today's Best - 01.27.08
Published 1/28/2008 by dhivy killed mr. boddy at Garbage Points
... The 1996 Chicago Bulls - With Kevin Garnett out because of a strained ab muscle, the Orlando Magic took advantage and handed the Celtics their eighth loss of the season. Ray Allen tied at game at 93 on a three-pointer, but Hairdo Turkey Glue stunned Boston with a turnaround jumper over Paul Pierce at the buzzer, to give Orlando a 96-93 win. The win was bad news for anyone cheering for the Celtics to become the most winning team of all-time, as John Hollinger lists their current odds for matching the Bulls' 72-10 record at 0.3%. And if ...
Fear the Jazz
Published 1/28/2008 at ESPN.com - True Hoop - Blog
Have you seen John Hollinger's Playoff Odds lately? That thing is pretty new, so I don't feel like I have a relationship with it yet. But it sure is interesting. I find myself staring at it frequently, wondering what it might see that the regular standings don't. And if you check it out today, you'll notice something odd: the Utah Jazz are listed as about as likely to make the playoffs as any team in the whole league. At 94.4% certain to make the playoffs, they are fifth most likely to make the playoffs in the West, mere percentage ...
NBA-The Hollinger Playoff Odds
Published 1/30/2008 by Josh Jacobs at Bleacher Report
... This season, ESPN Insider writer John Hollinger announced a fantastic new tool for NBA rankings and predictions. This tool, the Hollinger Playoff Predictor, predicts the outcomes of the various NBA teams' seasons, their likelihood of making the playoffs, winning their division, being the conferences number 1 seed, making it to the Finals, being the Champs, and even winning the Lottery. ...
NBA:The Hollinger Playoff Odds
Published 1/31/2008 by Josh Jacobs at Bleacher Report
... This tool, the Hollinger Playoff Predictor, predicts the outcomes of the various NBA teams' seasons, their likelihood of making the playoffs, winning their division, being the conference’s number 1 seed, making it to the Finals, being the Champs, and even winning the lottery. ...
Daily Links 2/12
Published 2/12/2008 at CelticsBlog
Herald C's get 2nds helpings Globe Bench is a seat of power D Up MetroWest Daily News Team record a reflection of Rivers CelticsBlog Leon Davis fills in the gaps LOY's Place Random thoughts 2/12 Celtics 17 The forgotten nine carrying the load without Garnett ESPN Stein's power rankings, Celtics #2 Hollinger's power rankings, Celtics #1 Playoff odds for all 30 teams Hoopsworld Rondo draws comparisons to Parker Red's Army What if.... Full Court Press Celtics report card February ...
Fiddlin' and Diddlin' - Daily Links 2/12
Published 2/12/2008 by FLCeltsFan at LOY's PLACE a celtics green blog
... Garnett ESPN Stein's power rankings, Celtics #2 Hollinger's power rankings, Celtics #1 FL's Take: It is amazing how these rankings differ. The Jazz lead the SI rankings with Boston 2nd and Detroit 3rd. Stein has Detroit 1st and Celtics second and Jazz all the way down at 4. Hollinger has the Celtics on top with the Lakers #2 and Detroit all the way down at 5. There is no rhyme nor reason to the way they rank these teams. Playoff odds for all 30 teams Hoopsworld Rondo draws ...
It’s Time to Put ‘Sixers’ and ‘Playoffs’ in the Same Sentence
Published 2/22/2008 by Dannie at Recliner GM
... I may be in the minority among Philly fans, but I am excited about the prospect of the team making the playoffs. Which according to John Hollinger’s playoff odds, gives the Sixers an 82.6% chance of being in the postseason. It’s important for the young guys to build some character and gain some valuable postseason experience (without AI carrying them). Competing in the playoffs accomplishes that. I am also hoping the inevitable loss to either Detroit or Boston in the first round will leave a bad taste in their mouths that intensifies their ...
Monday Bullets
Published 2/25/2008 at ESPN.com - True Hoop - Blog
... Remember all the talk about ten good teams in the West? Portland's recent five-game losing streak has pretty much ended all that. The Blazers or Kings will have to get super hot -- or two teams will have to get really cold -- for this to be considered anything other than a nine-team race. John Hollinger's playoff odds machine now gives Portland just a 1.1% chance of even making the playoffs, and a 0% chance of winning the division they led just a few weeks ago. And ...
Spurs 89 Hawks 74
Published 2/26/2008 by Bret LaGree at Hoopinion
... One win was the most anyone (there I go again) could have realistically expected from the road trip. Atlanta has 15 (well, 14 and 1/53rd) home games and 13 road games remaining. 11 of those 13 road games are against Eastern Conference teams. A 12th is at Memphis. Hollinger's playoff odds have the Hawks as the 8th most likely playoff team in the East, with a little better than a 40% probability of making the playoffs. ...
Daily Links 2/26
Published 2/26/2008 at CelticsBlog
... s stroll through LA, ease way back home Green comfortable with their place in the East Any moves in guarded condition Ainge speaks to Barry Globe Celtics finish strongly Cassell drawing interest Barry update Return to form CelticsBlog Blogger MVP/ROY rankings Celtics 17 Winning returns out West ESPN Stein's power rankings - Celtics #4, Lakers #1 Hollinger's power rankings Celtics #2, Lakers #1 Hollinger's Playoff odds Sources say Magloire leaning toward Mavs Hoopsworld The ...
Fiddlin' and Diddlin' - Daily Links 2/26
Published 2/26/2008 by FLCeltsFan at LOY's PLACE a celtics green blog
... from getting them. The Celtics have always been hated throughout the league and it doesn't seem to have changed after their recent 20 year run of bad luck. Barry update Return to form CelticsBlog Blogger MVP/ROY rankings Celtics 17 Winning returns out West ESPN Stein's power rankings - Celtics #4, Lakers #1 Hollinger's power rankings Celtics #2, Lakers #1 Hollinger's Playoff odds Sources say Magloire leaning toward Mavs ...
The Home Stretch
Published 2/27/2008 by Bret LaGree at Hoopinion
... As of this morning, John Hollinger's playoff odds predicts it will take 34 wins to make the playoffs in the East and 38 wins to climb into sixth and avoid Boston and Detroit in the first round. ...
The ESPN Guru Checks In...
Published 2/29/2008 by c_r_black at T.Jose Caldeford
... Can you give a brief explanation on the methodology of your playoff odds? 19% chance of Raptors making the Finals is getting a lot of people (ed. note: "a lot of people" = me) excited. ...
More from Hollinger
Published 2/29/2008 by mgrange at The Globe and Mail - From Deep
... even out?“The strength of schedule does come into play, as does home vs. road. Toronto's gets dinged for a weak recent schedule, but they've won by such overwhelming amounts that it more than offsets the penalty. And for the season as a whole, Toronto's schedule strength is better than that of Detroit or Boston. As for the back-to-backs and injuries and what not – the assumption is that comes out in the wash, yes.” Can you give a brief explanation on the methodology of your playoff odds ? 19% chance of Raptors making the Finals is getting a lot of people (ed. note: "a lot of ...
Bring on the Bulls!
Published 3/11/2008 by Ron Boone at My Utah Jazz
... To make up for it, I will finish with: A. My Prediction: Jazz 111 Bulls: 93 B. Look at our odds to make the finals C. Hi Mom! D. Award Winning Photos ...
Friday Hodge Podge
Published 3/14/2008 by Jeremy <info@pickaxeandroll.com> at Pickaxe And Roll: Front Page Posts
... I have been monitoring John Hollinger’s playoff odds calculator for the past couple of months, but have failed to pass it on to all of you. It is very interesting. It runs 5,000 iterations of the remaining games to determine the likely finishing record of every team. He then calculates the probability that each team will make the playoffs as well as how likely they are to win their division, conference, the championship and/or win the lottery. ...
How the (Somewhat) Mighty Have Fallen...
Published 3/17/2008 by c_r_black at T.Jose Caldeford
... Consider: They've gone from having an 18% chance at making the Finals to a 3% chance, according to John Hollinger's Playoff Odds. They've fallen from 4th to 14th in Hollinger's Power Rankings. ...
Monday Bullets
Published 3/17/2008 at ESPN.com - True Hoop - Blog
... John Hollinger's Playoff Odds predicts Denver will beat out Golden State for the last spot in the West, while the Lakers and Rockets are projected to be first and second. The Jazz, Hornets, Spurs, Mavericks, Suns, Nuggets, and Warriors are all expected to finish within four games of each other. Also, Atlanta, Chicago, and Indiana are all seen as more likely than New Jersey to make the playoffs. ...
Hawks 105 Wizards 96
Published 3/18/2008 by Bret LaGree at Hoopinion
... (If one wished to grouse about the team defense through three quarters or Josh Smith sitting for the first 4:46 of the fourth quarter because he had four fouls, one could, and I do admit to chuckling at Mario West's failed dunk attempt late in the third quarter. Grousing can have the day off: Atlanta's playoff odds are back over 50%.) ...
The Knicks still have a chance and other stuff you won’t believe
Published 3/21/2008 by JScrubb at YAYsports! NBA
... While perusing John Hollinger’s NBA Playoff Odds, I became deeply mired in the insane notion that if the Hawks, Pacers, Bulls, Nets, Bobcats, and Bucks all lost every single game until the end of the season, and the Knicks went 11-3, the New York Knicks would make the 8th seed in the Eastern Conference. ...
The Knicks still have a chance and other stuff you won't believe
Published 3/21/2008 by Jordi at The Serious Tip
... While perusing John Hollinger’s NBA Playoff Odds, I became deeply mired in the insane notion that if the Hawks, Pacers, Bulls, Nets, Bobcats, and Bucks all lost every single game until the end of the season, and the Knicks went 11-3, the New York Knicks would make the 8th seed in the Eastern Conference. ...
Easter Weekend 1 Hoopinion 0
Published 3/24/2008 by Bret LaGree at Hoopinion
... The Playoff Odds calculator this morning sees The Drive for 35 as irrelevant. The current target for the East's final playoff spot is up to 37 wins yet the 30-39 Hawks have a sixty-percent chance of getting there. Playing three weeks of basketball slightly above .500 is the goal. ...
Hollinger's Playoff Odds: Celtics, Lakers Most Likely to Make Finals
Published 3/24/2008 at ESPN.com - True Hoop - Blog
... The Celtics, according to John Hollinger's giant machine, are about 60% likely to make the Finals. The Lakers are second, at about 25%. ...
Not Every Team Can Make the Playoffs
Published 3/28/2008 at ESPN.com - True Hoop - Blog
... John Hollinger's playoff predictor thinks the most likely scenario is that the East stays as it is -- with Atlanta in the eighth spot, while Dallas and Denver beat out Golden State in the West. ...
It's Really Easy To Catch A Cold At A Bowling Alley
Published 3/29/2008 by Hot Shit College Student at Thank You Isiah
... Despite losing to Atlanta last night, there's still a 1.3% chance the Bulls will make the playoffs. Through thick and thin, it's history in the making!
Hawks 114 Knicks 109
Published 3/31/2008 by Bret LaGree at Hoopinion
... The concept of infinity might be relevant again tonight as in, "Mike Conley is infinitely quicker than Mike Bibby." I presume the Hawks will have to outscore another poor team to inch closer to clinching their opportunity to lose in the first round of the playoffs. Current odds: 75.8%. Estimated wins needed: 36. Level of excitement: roughly nil. ...
Tuesday Bullets
Published 4/1/2008 at ESPN.com - True Hoop - Blog
... from the Suns' huge, high-scoring comeback against the Nuggets. (Those two meet again tonight. I love the NBA.) That, combined the Mavericks' victory against the Clippers, combined to improve the Mavericks' chances of making the playoffs. Hollinger's machine now has the Warriors most likely to be left out. ...
Gameday Links
Published 4/2/2008 by Bret LaGree at Hoopinion
Unless I've miscalculated, a Raptors win and a Pacers loss clinches a playoff spot for Toronto. For this first time in more than a week Atlanta will face an opponent playing for something. I expect tonight's game, the Friday/Saturday back-to-back versus the 76ers, and next Tuesday's game at Indiana, will generate some excitement about the near-inevitable playoff berth regardless of the small probability of post-season success. Assuming, of course, that the Hawks play well. ...
And Now, We're Down To The Magic Number Four
Published 4/3/2008 by Jay Busbee at Right Down Peachtree
... ESPN's John Hollinger puts our playoff chances at 92 percent; anybody but the Hawks, and I'd already be popping the champagne. But we shall see, we shall see... ...
Golden State and Denver in a Dog Fight
Published 4/7/2008 at ESPN.com - True Hoop - Blog
... John Hollinger's playoff odds predictor likes the Warriors -- who play four out of five games at home the rest of the way. Hollinger's machine calls Golden State 63% likely to make the playoffs, as opposed to 38% for the Nuggets. ...
Open Game Thread #77: Bulls at Miami Heat
Published 4/8/2008 by wjb1492 <info@blogabull.com> at Blog a Bull: Front Page Posts
... What if Atlanta fails to lock it up? Can the Bulls actually win a game, and thus continue to torture us all with infinitisimal playoff possibilities? Tonight's opponent is our old friend, the Miami Heat, perhaps the only other NBA team that is even arguably as disappointing as our Bulls (although I think the Bulls "win" that argument). The catch is, these aren't really our old-friends-Miami-Heat. No Shaq, no D-Wade, no Posey the Thug, no Haslem. The Heat's anticipated ...
Are the Mavs Finally Gellin’?
Published 4/10/2008 by Daniel Dessinger at MavsUpdate
... of our teams, he and the rest of Dallas are far too quick to jump on the “horrible Jason Kidd trade” or “Mavs are now gellin” bandwagon. So what IS the status of the Dallas Mavericks? Are they actually starting to gel since the Jason Kidd trade? Time will tell. Dallas still needs two wins to clinch a playoff spot. Until then, they’re just another team in the competitive West. Stay tuned for tomorrow’s game against Utah. Utah is red hot and ready to make a championship run. I saw an ESPN rating system that put Utah as the most probable Western team to make it to the Finals. ...
The World's Most Unlikely MVP Showdown
Published 4/11/2008 at ESPN.com - True Hoop - Blog
... But here we are. That's the deal. All the teams that everyone loved in the preseason -- the world champion San Antonio Spurs, the Phoenix Suns who lost to the Spurs on something of a technicality, the Dallas Mavericks who had special motivation courtesy of the Warriors, the Jazz who were fresh off the Western Conference Finals, the trendy Rockets -- now have a combined 7.1% chance at winning the top seed in the Conference, according to John Hollinger's playoff odds. ...