Lies, Damned Lies: Home-Field Advantages by Nate Silver

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Prospectus Preview: Monday`s Games to Watch by Caleb Peiffer
Published 6/30/2008 at Baseball Prospectus
Today's Full Slate of Games Matchup : Red Sox (50-34) at Rays (49-32), 7:10 p.m. ET Probable Starters : Justin Masterson (42 IP , 3.43 RA , 1.19 WHIP , 32 K) vs. James Shields (103, 4.46, 1.16, 83) Pythagorean Record : Boston, 49-35 (424 RS , 351 RA ); Tampa Bay, 46-35 (382 RS , 327 RA ) Hit List Rankings : Boston, #1; Tampa Bay, #3 Prospectus : With the end of interleague play, the divisional races now start to heat up, beginning with the first critical second-half series in Tropicana Field history. With yesterday's Tampa Bay victory and Boston's ...

Interview: Paul Hagen
Published 7/1/2008 by Aaron Dorman at Mets Geek
... A report by Baseball Prospectus today said that the Phillies have enjoyed the smallest home field advantage, by winning percentage over the last five years. Do you make anything out of that? What is your impression of the Phillies fans, and their reputation for sometimes being hostile? Is it overblown? ...

Ray Pride
Published 7/1/2008 by Brandon Heikoop (noreply@blogger.com) at The Outsiders Look at the Insides of Baseball
... Also working in favor of the Rays is their sudden home field advantage. While the club performs well on the road (one of 4 AL teams with a winning record away), the home record is outstanding, and has become a downright advantage since the end of April. Additionally, Nate Silver of Baseball Prospectus writes (subscription required) that the Rays have traditionally been particularly strong at home. ...

The Hardball Times:Ten things I didn’t know last week
Published 7/3/2008 by Dave Studeman at THT Live
... . At Baseball Prospectus, Nate Silver is wondering about home field advantage, too (subscription required). As usual, Nate's article is thoughtful and insightful; he outlines seven variables that might contribute to home field advantage: In the article, he rated each home park within each category and found that a dome has had the most impact on home field performance over the past four years. I think more detailed analysis is forthcoming. Historical home field advantage So let's add some perspective here. This is the home field advantage (HFA) of major league teams for ...

HOMEFIELD ADVANTAGE
Published 7/3/2008 by MattS at The Good Phight: Front Page Posts
              For many years, it has been well documented that home teams win baseball games more often than road teams.  In fact, from 1977-2008, home teams have won 54.0% of all baseball games—a .080 percentage point advantage.  ...

Three Days Without Baseball
Published 7/17/2008 by Brandon Heikoop (noreply@blogger.com) at The Outsiders Look at the Insides of Baseball
... It is important. While not outstandingly significant, 8 of 13 World Series' have been won by the team with home field advantage. However, what is significant is that home teams have a cumulative 57% winning percentage at home. Specifically, the American League (which has only 2 teams below .500 at home) has a 59% winning percentage at home, while the National League (with 3 teams below .500) sits at 55%. In other words, a substantial deviation from home and road performances-something that Nate Silver of Baseball Prospectus further details. ...