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NBA Draft Lottery Primer
tziller posted 5/22/2007 from ballhype.com
Here's what you need to know in advance of Tuesday's NBA Draft Lottery (ESPN, 8:30p EDT):
Odds
Mike Zarren of the Boston Celtics front office has a rundown on all the teams' odds for each pick here. In short, here are each team's odds at getting a top-2 pick:
- Memphis: 46.5%
- Boston: 36.9%
- Milwaukee: 31.3%
- Atlanta: 24.5%
- Seattle: 18.5%
- Portland: 11.3%
- Minnesota: 11.3%
- Charlotte: 4.1%
- Chicago: 4.1%
- Sacramento: 3.9%
- Indiana: 1.7%
- Phialdelphia: 1.5%
- New Orleans: 1.3%
- Clippers: 1.1%
How You'll Know Something's Up
Selection numbers are revealed in reverse order. The #14 pick will be first up. If it's not the Clippers, then you'll know the Clippers have moved into the top-3. The same goes down the line. The standard reverse order should be:
- Clippers
- New Orleans
- Philadelphia
- Indiana
- Sacramento
- New York (which will go to Chicago)
- Charlotte
- Minnesota
- Portland
- Seattle
- Atlanta
- Milwaukee
- Boston
- Memphis
If any of these teams get skipped in order of announcement, they are in the top 3. Once the announcements get up to the top-3, the remaining teams can essentially be in any order.
Who Will Be There?
Here's a tentative/incomplete list of team representatives, based on various published reports:
- Jerry West, Memphis
- Tommy Heinsohn, Boston
- Larry Harris, Milwaukee
- Brandon Roy, Portland
- Randy Foye, Minnesota
- Larry Bird, Indiana
- Phil Maloof, Sacramento
- Fred Whitfield, Charlotte
How To Take It In
Zach from The Big Picture has a drinking game. Dan Shanoff will be liveblogging at Deadspin, and I'll have the honor of liveblogging the show at The FanHouse, starting at 8pm EDT. ESPN's pre-show coverage begins at 7:30p EDT, and the actual shindig kicks off at 8:30.
Further reading
The handy Ballhype tag 'NBA Draft Lottery' will lead you to just about everything that is written on the matter. Use it, abuse it.
