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Predicting with Statistical Plus/Minus
Surely most of our readers have heard about “adjusted plus/minus” at some time or another, whether through TrueHoop, Sports Illustrated, the APBRmetrics board, the many articles at 82games on the subject, or even Michael Lewis’ article about Shane Battier in last week’s ...
Predicting The Playoffs
hoopsworld.com — Now that the trade deadline has officially passed and the All-Star Game seems like a distant memory,... it's time to start talking about the season that really matters the postseason. Let's look forward to Spring and attempt to predict how the Eastern ... (more) Predicting The Playoffs

Wings 2, Wild 5
Wings 2, Wild 5
onthewingsblog.com — Lidstrom minus-2 Datsyuk minus-1 Rafalski minus-1 Zettberberg minus-1 Hossa minus-1 Howard 24/28 That’s all you need to... know about this game. Moving on… (more) Wings 2, Wild 5
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Monday Bullets
ESPN.com - TrueHoop — ... that go together in hilarious fashion: Talk of the "Mikki Moore Sweepstakes,"  as various teams bid for the big man. And Moore as an example of the kind of signing that condemned the Kings to long-term mediocrity. Of course, it all comes down to how much you pay him ... Chris Paul inbounding off Kobe Bryant's back. I love that kind of stuff. You know about plus/minus. You have some notion of adjusted plus/mius. And now here's statistical plus/minus. A peek at the economic goings-on at the ...

Retrodicting the 2008-09 Season With Statistical Plus/Minus
Hoopinion — What follows is not an excuse for this but part of examination of why I was so wrong about a team I watch and think about so, so much. Neil Paine's post on the Basketball-Reference.com blog (HT: True Hoop) may be of interest primarily to those with interest in and/or tolerance for math-intensive advanced stats. I'm not that strong on the math, myself, but I find this stuff fascinating and not just because the Hawks, with 28 games remaining, are 2 wins away from matching my predicted win total for the ...

Ultimate What If: Grant Hill (w/ Neil Paine)
Third Quarter Collapse — ... about Cleveland in the 80s, and also reconstructing them using statistical +/-. Then I'd just average the two "expected wins" values, and adjust the rest of the league down to force the NBA average to still be .500. For the playoffs, I guess we'd find out what seed they'd be, and run what's called the log5 method to find their odds of winning each round." ...

EOPM - Estimating APM with rates
3 Hoops Fans | A Basketball Post Each Day — ... I also want to take a look at using EOPM to project team success, both in the regular season and playoffs, in much the same way Neil Paine did at the basketball-reference.com blog using Rosenbaum’s method. And I’m going to look at breaking EOPM down by position. The difference between Offensive APM and EOPM for point guards is higher than I want it to be (the error is partially due to the huge range in PG Offensive APM totals, from Kidd’s +10.01 to Jack’s -5.48), and perhaps there’s a way to lower that difference by accounting more for how a player ...

Looking at Statistical Plus/Minus for the Orlando Magic
Third Quarter Collapse — ... For those not familiar with statistical plus/minus, here's a breakdown of the metric and what it encompasses, specifically when compared to adjusted plus/minus: ...

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