Probabilistic Model of Range, 2007, Teams

Links (12)

Baseball Musings: Pinto: Probabilistic Model of Range, 2007, Teams
Published 11/5/2007 at BBTF's Baseball Primer Newsblog
Baseball Musings: Pinto: Probabilistic Model of Range, 2007, Teams Baseball Info Solutions sent me their final stats for 2007 over the weekend. That means it’s time to start presenting the 2007 Probabilistic Model or Range. If you’re new to this, you can find explanations in this archive. Basically, for each fieldable (non inside the park home runs) ball put in play, six parameters are used to determine how difficult it was to field the ball. A probability of turning the ball into an out is calculated, and those probabilities are summed. That gives us expected batted balls ...

2007 PMR Team Rankings
Published 11/5/2007 by Justin at On Baseball and the Reds
David Pinto has begun to release data for PMR in 2007, starting with 2007 team rankings. As you'd expect from my and others' work on Reds defense, the Reds fared poorly: they ranked 4th from the bottom in the National League, ahead of only the Marlins, Brewers, and Pirates. Pinto estimates that they made 28 fewer outs than expected, which is the equivalent of ~22 runs. That means that the Reds' defense alone cost them about two wins. ...

troy for ROY
Published 11/5/2007 by lboros <info@vivaelbirdos.com> at Viva El Birdos: Front Page Posts
... david pinto has begun revealing 2007 results for his fielding metric, PMR (probabilistic model of range). yesterday he posted the team-by-team results; the cardinals ranked 21st. per this model, they only made 5 plays fewer than an average fielding team would be predicted to make, which translates into 3 or 4 runs; ie, the model doesn't think the cards' lax D in 2007 was particularly costly. but it was still costly in the sense that defense has long been one of the cards' core strengths; it was a weakness last year. ...

Pinto’s PMR
Published 11/5/2007 by Tangotiger (tangotiger@yahoo.com) at THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball
... The Yankees led the league with making 62 more plays than expected, given their context of pitchers and park and whatever else David includes.  According to ...

links for 2007-11-05
Published 11/5/2007 by billfer at The Detroit Tiger Weblog
... Detroit Tigers Thoughts: Don’t worry about the Renteria trade (tags: jair-jurrjens edgar-renteria gorkys-hernandez) Baseball Musings: Probabilistic Model of Range, 2007, Teams I love PMR and look forward to ...

Monday night linkaliciousness
Published 11/6/2007 by Adam J. Morris <info@lonestarball.com> at Lone Star Ball: Front Page Posts
... David Pinto's Probabilistic Model of Range says the Rangers are a better defensive team than just DER suggests.  How it's calculated (short version): ...

Where Do Your Tigers Rank?  Pick the List
Published 11/6/2007 by Ian Casselberry <info@blessyouboys.com> at Bless You Boys: Front Page Posts
... yet, but I'll get there.  (I just need a decent night's sleep and a strong cup of coffee.)  Anyway, Baseball Musings posted the 2007 rankings for PMR, and the Tigers were among the 10 best teams at turning balls in play into outs. ...

Sox not particularly high on Lastings Milledge?
Published 11/6/2007 by thewizardsofoz <info@southsidesox.com> at South Side Sox: Front Page Posts
... The Spanish version of Wikipedia was right. Carlos Subero is Birbingham's new coach. More on the St. Louis GM saga. Shoenweis wasn't the only duffus to ship his steroids to his team's ballpark. Ken Davidoff says the Yankees aren't likely to trade for Joe Crede. They're after bigger fish. Seems the Phillies won't be shopping for a 3rd-baseman but will be looking for pitching. Final 2007 team PMR stats. His legend lingers. Speaking of legend, Kenny ...

Carlos Silva: What About That Guy, Is He Any Good?
Published 12/6/2007 by Jeff Mathews at Mets Geek
... Of course, the flip side of that is that Carlos would also have 160 more opportunities to get lucky, too. In fact, one could make the argument that a good defensive team—like the Mets, with ...

Team Defense
Published 12/29/2007 by David Bloom <info@draysbay.com> at DRaysBay: Front Page Posts
... One thing that alarmed me while looking over some of the numbers was that we wrapped up the title for worst team fielding as based on PMR which is a formula devised by ...

Third Baseball Blog Blast
Published 1/24/2008 by davidbloom at BaseballHappenings.com
... 2007 Team PMR 2007 P PMR 2007 C PMR 2007 1B PMR 2007 2B PMR 2007 3B PMR 2007 SS PMR 2007 CF PMR 2007 RF PMR 2007 LF PMR ...

What Can Ground Balls Do For You?
Published 3/1/2008 by davidbloom at BaseballHappenings.com
... was take a look at the Range of the infielders involved in these good ground ball pitchers. I used Dave Pinto’s PMR: uses play-by-play data to determine the probability of a ball in play being converted to an out based on six parameters: Direction of hit (a vector), The type of hit (Fly, ground, line drive, bunt), How hard the ball was hit (slow, medium, hard), The park, The handedness of the pitcher, The handedness of the batter. Arizona (99.87 19th) ...