Probabilistic Model of Range, Shortstops

Links (21)

Baseballmusings.com: Probabilistic Model of Range, Shortstops
Published 11/8/2007 at BBTF's Baseball Primer Newsblog
... —The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand Thursday, November 08, 2007 Baseballmusings.com: Probabilistic Model of Range, Shortstops I had a chance to hear David Pinto speak last month and I hought that he did a great job explaining PMR to an intelligent layman like me. Shortstop is the first position he covers this year (he did a couple of articles on team defense already this week.) Hey Blackhawk, PMR! ...

Thursday Rockpile:
Published 11/8/2007 by Rox Girl <info@purplerow.com> at Purple Row: Front Page Posts
... David Pinto's PMR rankings for shortstops are out with Tulo blowing away the competition. Why didn't he win the Gold glove again? This stat likes Jimmy Rollins as well, but it still indicates Tulo would have saved over 20 runs more than J-Roll if he had been in Philly's infield. ...

Dodger Thoughts: Twice Around the Park with Chan Ho
Published 11/8/2007 at Dodger Thoughts
... and 217 strikeouts in 226 innings for Los Angeles. But he has been below average since 2002, and made it into only one major league game last season. Update: According to public relations director Josh Rawitch, Park hasn't signed, but it's heading that direction. It would be for a minor league deal with an invite to camp, but it's not a done deal. * * * According to David Pinto of Baseball Musings , the Dodgers still had great defense at shortstop last season, despite Rafael Furcal's bum ankle.

Thursday Afternoon Mets Newsstand
Published 11/8/2007 by Eric Simon <amazinavenue@gmail.com> at Amazin' Avenue: Front Page Posts
... Pinto has also posted his 2008 Probabilistic Model of Range charts for shortstops, which have somehow ranked Hanley Ramirez ahead of Jose Reyes by a fairly hefty margin. The consensus among scouts and computers alike is that Ramirez is an atrocious gloveman at short, but PMR seems to disagree. ...

PMR RUN CONVERSIONS, SHORTSTOPS
Published 11/8/2007 by The Chronicler at Chronicles of the Lads
David Pinto has started posting his Probabilistic Model of Range figures for teams and individuals, starting the individuals off with the shortstops. Here are the conversions (there's an explanation in the relevant section of the sidebar to your right, as well as figures from past seasons): ...

Lancelot Links
Published 11/8/2007 by josh q. public at josh q. public
... Gibbs to English Dictionary.  Jerry’s Wheelhouse 4.  Pacman Jones moves on.  Will replace Katie Couric at CBS.  eTrueSports 5.  Would you like a Mannymobile?  Red Sox Monster 6.  Best fielding shortstops in baseball.  Caution.  Math majors only.  Baseball Musings 7.  Buster ...

Should Derek Jeter Switch Positions?
Published 11/9/2007 by Josh Alper at FanHouse
... is close to a capital offense in the Big Apple. So you have to give Phil Allard of NYYFans.com credit for having some onions even if you don't agree with his opinion. Allard took a look at the Probablistic Model of Range for Shortstops published by Baseball Musings and noticed that Jeter ranks next to last, just above ...

Handing out hardware
Published 11/9/2007 by billfer at The Detroit Tiger Weblog
... Despite Guillen’s high error total and decreased range as the season wore on, I don’t think this is a clear cut honor (or dubious distinction).  Derek Jeter was the worst AL shortstop using +/- at -34 and David Pinto’s probabilistic model of range had Jeter missing 40 plays more than expected (Guillen was 19 plays below expected over less playing time).  Michael Young rates worse than Guillen on both measures as well. In ...

THE HANGOVER Evan Longoria Goes Deep For Team USA
Published 11/9/2007 by The Professor at Rays Index
... Why do the Rays need a shortstop? According to "The Probabilistic Model of Range" for shortstops in 2007, the Rays had the third worst shortstop defense in baseball. Individually, Brendan Harris and Josh Wilson ranked as the 3rd and 4th worst defensive shortstops in 2007 (out of 39). [Baseball Musings] ...

The Consolation Prize
Published 11/14/2007 by Chris Needham at Capitol Punishment
... were middle of the pack, too. It loves Ryan Church (+3%) and thinks that Logan is pretty good (+1%). Something seems funky about both those numbers, especially with what I've seen from some of the other defensive stats. As you'd expect, Nats SS were at the bottom of the league. On a rate basis (and not really accounting for the small sample) Cristian Guzman was the worst in the league. Felipe Lopez was the worst regular SS in the NL. (Strangely, two former Nats also pollute the bottom of the rankings: Josh Wilson and Brendan Harris). By this measure, if the Nats had had a ...

The shortstop market heats up
Published 11/20/2007 by Pat at Where have you gone, Andy Van Slyke?
... . If you're curious, Wilson and Cabrera are actually pretty comparable players. Wilson is usually a worse hitter, but his two best years and better than anything Cabrera's done recently. Cabrera is a few years older, more expensive, and, using David Pinto's PMR, not as good with the glove as Jack. Of course Cabrera has a couple Gold Gloves to his name and he's got a World Series ring, which puts his "intangibles" through the roof when trying to figure out his value in a trade, but I suppose if Huntington is trying to trade Jack, he should be looking for at least John Garland ...

Notes on Fielding: The Season in Review, 2007
Published 11/26/2007 by Mike at A CITIZEN'S BLOG
... every season (mercifully save this season) while Joe Morgan prattles on about how terrific he is. The moment Derek Jeter flipped the ball to Jorge Posada in Game Three of the American League Division Series in 2001, his status as a fielder was immortalized by the pundits and fans (“Remember when he flipped the ball to Posada in that playoff game…”) and the conventional wisdom that he’s a great defensive player was born. (By the way, Dave Pinto's Probalistic Model of Range, or PMR, says that Jeter was one of the worst defensive shortstops in baseball in 2007, by the way.) ...

Defensively Speaking*
Published 12/1/2007 by TBA at Red Sox Reality Check
... First, David Pinto's Probabilistic Model of Range. You've gotta love the title, because it sounds like you need a P.H.D. to understand it, but second it breaks down performance to a couple of decimal points, which reminds me of how we insanely pay homage to statistics beyond validity. But I digress. ...

Tejada to Handle
Published 12/9/2007 by houstoncardinal <info@vivaelbirdos.com> at Viva El Birdos: Front Page Posts
... of 88. According to PBR, Tejada was also below average last year w/ a predicted outs/actual outs ratio of 97.20 - about 3% below average. Because the defensive metrics are rarely unanimous about a player, THT actually had him as an above-average SS for '07 w/ a RZR of .830 - 7th among all shortstops and 2nd in the AL. Still, the O's plan to move him to 3B and many others who've discussed trading for him (Angels in particular) have talked of moving him to 3B. ...

Yuni implicated in Carlos Silva signing
Published 1/2/2008 by Brad at Yuniform
... While it’s nice that Silva can point out his biggest flaw (he can’t strike anybody out), Yuni really shouldn’t improve his game too much. Last year, Silva pitched in front of Jason Bartlett at short (he’s since been traded to the Tampa Bay Devil Rays), who is probably a better defensive shortstop than Yuniesky (evidence here and ...

Upward Spiral for Hanley Ramirez?
Published 1/23/2008 by davidbloom at BaseballHappenings.com
... His defense is the middle of the pack according to PMR . With the Marlins lacking a 3B, its not out of the question down the road the team performs some defensive rel-alignment. If that means, a move to the outfield or possibly at the hot corner, we’ll have to see how this plays out. At the moment, the Marlins are choosing between a couple of second baseman for 3B ...

Third Baseball Blog Blast
Published 1/24/2008 by davidbloom at BaseballHappenings.com
... 2007 Team PMR 2007 P PMR 2007 C PMR 2007 1B PMR 2007 2B PMR 2007 3B PMR 2007 SS PMR 2007 CF PMR 2007 RF PMR 2007 LF PMR ...

Classik Yuniesky #3: Scouts’ honor
Published 1/26/2008 by Brad at Yuniform
... The most frustrating thing about being a fan of Yuniesky Betancourt is that his amazing defense doesn’t translate into measurable statistics. Most defensive metrics instead show Yuni slightly behind the middle of the pack. Today’s example: David Pinto’s Probabilistic Model of Range. Yuni’s a 99.23, where 100 is average. (Caveat: looking at his ...

The Derek Jeter Conundrum
Published 2/24/2008 by Jason at MY BASEBALL BIAS
... David Pinto of Baseball Musings is also a believer. His PMR (Probabilistic Model of Range) model for shortstops ranked Derek Jeter second to last in 2007. David also shows us ...

The Case For a Punto/Harris Defense/Offense Platoon
Published 2/26/2008 by ubelmann at The WGOM
... doesn't have Harris' time at second base in 2007, and his data is pretty small sample size, but oh what a sample. He's at -38 runs/150G at 2B, -33 runs/150G at 3B, and -22 runs/150G at SS. Our dearest Nicky is at +10 runs/150G at 2B, +13 runs/150G at 3B, and +14 runs/150G at SS. Using PMR , as a team, the Devil Rays (it was 2007 after all) had the 3rd-worst defense at SS overall last year, and Harris had the third-worst rate amongst shortstops, ahead of only Derek Jeter and Cristian Guzman. A full season of PMR predicted outs at SS seems to be about 500, which would put ...

What Can Ground Balls Do For You?
Published 3/1/2008 by davidbloom at BaseballHappenings.com
... 1B 2B SS 3B 96.26 (24th) 99.98 (14th) 104.12 (4th) 100.82 (11th) 94.61 (28th) Braves (100.66 10th) ...