baseballanalysts.com - 8/7/2009
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Recently there has been some discussion about estimating a player’s true talent level. The idea is that a player's true talent, and how we should expect him to perform going forward, is not the player’s current level of production. Rather it is a weighted average of his current year and past ...
nleastchatter.com - 8/4/2009
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nleastchatter.com —
I internally weep as I type this. The
Mets(50-55) take on the Cardinals (58-50) for a 2...
game set tonight at home. In their way will be (RHP) Joel Pineiro. Yea…him. Here’s the skinny on Pineiro (9-9 2.84 ERA, 1.07 WHIP) who toys with the Mets like a cat toys with a crippled ...
(more)
An In-Depth Look At… Joel Pineiro.
novafantasysports.com - 8/5/2009
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novafantasysports.com —
Update: Joel Pineiro struggled mightily on Tuesday, but
the Cardinals' offense bailed him out as they defeated...
the Mets 12-7 in ten innings. Pineiro went five innings and allowed seven runs on 11 hits while not walking or striking out a batter. read more
(more)
Pineiro struggles against the Mets
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Regression of Groundball Rates
THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball —
... Since the number of groundballs a pitcher gives up is one of the most stable performance rates around, when you see a huge change in that metric, this points very strong to a true change in talent level. Dave Allen discusses Joel Pineiro. ...
Daily Box Score 8/7: Fear Not of Numbers
Beyond the Box Score —
... At Baseball Analysts, Dave Allen looks at Joel Pineiro's newfound control and ability to induce ground balls. He argues that, armed with PITCHf/x data, we might need to reevaluate how we go about weighting past performances. Perhaps, he thinks, we can weight the past less if we have better data from the current season. ...
Free Agent Joel Pineiro
FanGraphs Baseball —
... As I wrote before Pineiro will regress in 2010 and very likely not perform as well. This season was about the best you can expect from a pitcher who strikes out less than one batter every two innings. But assuming he keeps throwing that sinker so often he will limit walks, get tons ground balls and be a solid pitcher. ...
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Must Read Article On Regression to the Mean
fantasypros911.com 7/22/2009 — The fantastic Dave Cameron wrote an excellent article about regression to the mean on his well known Mariners blog, U.S.S. Mariner. This is a must read, especially for those readers interesting in understanding statistical analysis concepts better. What he talks about is a common problem ...
Joel Pineiro: the strangest “Ace” I’ve ever seen
umpbump.com 8/15/2009 — You may not have noticed, but Cardinals starting pitcher Joel Pineiro is having himself one heck of a year: 12 wins already, outstanding 1.12 WHIP, sparkling 3.22 ERA, and even more sparkling 2.94 FIP.
But if you dig beneath the surface a bit, you’ll find one of the strangest seasons by ...
Pineiro and Free Agency
fangraphs.com 8/21/2009 — Perhaps more than any other free agent this winter, Joel Pineiro should be a fascinating case to watch. You probably know the story by now – journeyman with a checkered history buys into Dave Duncan’s two-seam fastball plan, becomes an ...
If you’re happy and you know it, get on base
hardballtimes.com 8/7/2009 — Ah, the Saber-sphere is all abuzz with talk of regression to the mean. Regression to the mean is a fairly simple concept. If, over the past four years, you have a player who has had HR/PA rates of 2.8%, 1.9%, 2.3%, and 2.4%, then suddenly, his rate goes to 7.3%, what should you ...
Should The Mets Sign Joel Piñeiro As A Free Agent?
metsmerizedonline.com 8/4/2009 — I’ll make this short and (hopefully) sweet, so please don’t shoot the blogger. As you may already know, I am an optimist. However, as much as I’d like to see the Mets have a miraculous finish to the 2009 season, every time they lose to second division teams like Arizona, ...