Reviewing the NBA Blog Previews, 07-08

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Jason Jason posted 4/17/2008 from ballhype.com [flag]

Last October, Jeff Clark from CelticsBlog coordinated yet another team-by-team look at the 2007-08 season, featuring dozens of NBA bloggers. And once again, there was more than enough optimism to go around in the preseason ... with disappointment for many fans once the real games begun.

This table compares the preview predictions to the each team's actual win total on the year. It's sortable—you can toggle the sort and direction by clicking the column headings.

Team Preview Predicted Wins Actual Wins Difference
76ers Passion and Pride 30 40 10
Blazers True Hoop 34 41 7
Blazers The Inferno 38 41 3
Bobcats Bobcat Bonfire 40 32 -8
Bucks Bango's Bunch 44 26 -18
Bulls Cobra Brigade 52 33 -19
Bulls Bull Riding 56 33 -23
Cavs YAYsports! 51 45 -6
Cavs The POJO Dojo 50 45 -5
Cavs Cavalier Attitude 52 45 -7
Cavs Truth in a Bullet Fedora 55 45 -10
Celtics CelticsBlog 50 66 16
Celtics LOY's PLACE 50 66 16
Celtics Celtics 17 50 66 16
Celtics RedsArmy.com 49 66 17
Celtics Celtics247.com 52 66 14
Celtics Green Bandwagon 49 66 17
Clippers Clips Nation 35 23 -12
Grizzlies 3 Shades of Blue 37 22 -15
Hawks Impending Firestorm 40 37 -3
Hawks Atlanta Hawks Blog 42 37 -5
Heat I Want to be a Sports Agent 41 15 -26
Heat Crazy from the Heat ??? 15 ???
Hornets Hornets247.com 48 56 8
Hornets THE New Orleans Hornets Fan 48 56 8
Jazz Daily Basketball 56 54 -2
Jazz The NBA Source 48 54 6
Jazz Basketball John 55 54 -1
Kings Sactown Royalty 35 38 3
Knicks Straight Bangin' 36 23 -13
Knicks Posting and Toasting 41 23 -18
Lakers Forum Blue And Gold 46 57 11
Lakers With Malice... ??? 57 ???
Magic Believing in Magic 48 52 4
Magic Third Quarter Collapse 46 52 6
Mavericks Showboating 60 51 -9
Nets HOOPLAH.. NATION 46 34 -12
Nets NetsDaily 45 34 -11
Nuggets The Nugg Doctor 53 50 -3
Pacers Indy Cornrows 40 36 -4
Pacers Pacers Pulse 43 36 -7
Pistons PistonsNationBlog.com 52 59 7
Pistons Empty the Bench 51 59 8
Pistons Need4Sheed 51 59 8
Pistons Pistons Palace 50 59 9
Raptors Hoops Addict 46 41 -5
Rockets HoopsBlogging 58 55 -3
Sonics SonicsCentral.com 40 20 -20
Spurs Spur of the Moment 57 56 -1
Spurs Pounding the Rock 55 56 1
Suns Bright Side Of The Sun 60 55 -5
Timberwolves TWolvesBlog 21 22 1
Warriors Golden State of Mind 44 48 4
Wizards Bullets Forever 46 43 -3

Interesting footnote: in the last two years, predictions in the range of 40-42 wins have been the kiss of death. Last year, 7 predictions came in at between 40 and 42 wins, and they overerstimated by an average of nearly 8 wins. This year was even worse—the 7 near-.500 predictions were off by a whopping 12 wins. Word to the wise: if you find yourself predicting a .500 record for your team next year, you may want to consider ratcheting down your expectations.

Congrats to the most accurate predictions from this year: TWolvesBlog, Pounding the Rock, Spur of the Moment, and Basketball John were all just one win off.

To see what fans are predicting for the playoffs, check out the master bracket from the BallHype playoffs pick'em contest.

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Comments (2)

  • ranter ranter
    +2
    great stuff Jason, thanks again for all your help!
    Posted 4/18/2008 [reply] [flag]
  • Patrick Patrick
    +1
    Great list. That Heat prediction sets some kind of record for optimism.
    Posted 4/18/2008 [reply] [flag]

Links (3)

Grading The Blogger Predictions
Published 4/17/2008 at CelticsBlog - NBA Section
... was kind enough to put together a sortable chart of all the preseason predictions vs. each team's final record. See all the results here. Of course most Celtics fans vastly underestimated how great this team would be. On the other end of the spectrum are the Bulls and Heat fans that really overestimated their team's chances. But Jason noticed another trend. Interesting footnote: in the last two years, predictions in the range of 40-42 wins have been the kiss of death. Last year, 7 predictions came in at between 40 and 42 wins, and they overerstimated by an average of ...

Bunches of playoff previews
Published 4/18/2008 by Matt Watson at Detroit Bad Boys
... Jason from BallHype took a look at blogosphere’s preseason previews and compared them with the final standings. Of the four Pistons blogs that participated, each one underestimated this year’s win total by 7-9 wins. Consider that a reminder that 59 wins is just nuts. It’s easy to take this team for granted sometime, but that’s the third-best record in team history. ...

Links: It's Finally Over Edition
Published 4/19/2008 by Spartacus at 3 Shades of Blue - A Memphis Grizzlies Blog
... at the beginning of the season when we gave our preview of the Grizzlies for CelticsBlog? Plenty of other bloggers gave previews of their teams, too. Well, now it is time to revisit those previews and see just how wrong we were and figure out where we went wrong. NBA Reviews Atlantic Division Central Division Southeast Division Southwest Division Northwest Division Pacific Division Ballhype Grades for the Previews

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