posted by Jason
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Last October, Jeff Clark from CelticsBlog coordinated yet another team-by-team season preview, featuring 63 NBA bloggers this time. As in 2006-07 and 2007-08, overoptimism was a general trend. As a result, this season brought plenty of disappointment: bloggers predicted a total of 236 more wins than their teams actually achieved.
Now that we have 3 years of predictions under our belts, I decided to plot actual vs. predicted wins for each team (throwing in 2005-06 actuals for context). Here's the result; click the team names below to update.
Interesting examples: ridiculous accuracy, great expectations, mediocrity defined, depressing trend.
Finally, this table compares the 2008-09 preview predictions to the each team's actual win total on the year. It's sortable—you can toggle the sort and direction by clicking the column headings.
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Ryne Nelson Excellent breakdown, Jason! I guess it's a good thing I didn't partake in record-predicting because I'm the descrepencies would make everyone look like gurus.-
Jason Ha - you'll notice I didn't make any predictions this year, either.
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Zorgon Wow....it's amazing to know that I was the only Blog to predict their teams wins in the teens....and aside from 3 Shades of blue, the only blog to predict below 30.
And, if P.J. was still coaching, I'm confident my number would have stuck.
Anyway, fantastic work Jason, interesting stuff to look at.
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Patrick Great stuff - I love the graphs. And the trends are really fun to look at.
Oh, those overenthusiastic Wizards fans....
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FLCeltsFan Great job! I love the graphs!
I underestimated the Celtics by 2 this year but was close! If anyone had told me that KG would be out for 24 games and that we would lose Tony, Leon, Big Baby, Rondo, Ray and Perk all for portions of the season, I never would have guessed 60 wins let alone 62. Mindboggling!
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pistonsfan11 pistons nation rise -
pistonsfan11 to yellowjackets and prospectors! to spartans and wolverines! to red wings, tigers, and lions! pistons nation rise! -
pistonsfan11 to rodney pete to andre ware to erik kramer to joey harrington to matt stafford...pistons nation rise! -
pistonsfan11 to mateen cleaves to rodney white to Andreas Gliniadakis to the Serbian Gangsta to delfino to ricky paulding to sammy meijia to deron washington and dj white…pistons nation rise! -
pistonsfan11 kideminemrock...pnr!!!!
Reviewing the NBA Blog Previews, 08-09
CelticsBlog —
Reviewing the NBA Blog Previews, 08-09
Remember the NBA Blogger Previews? Here's a look at how each team's bloggers did in terms of predicting win totals. Great graphs.
NESW Sports Headlines 4-16-2009
NESW Sports, Sports Videos —
Hello, I’m Ethan Jaynes, and you’re not. Here are today’s Headlines. If you have any suggestions/tips/requests email me @ ethanjaynes@comcast.net . Thanks.
Jason @ Ballhype has put together a post showing the bloggers how well/bad they predicted, and Daily Radar has launched LOL Blips.
Isiah Thompson? < The World of Isaac
Jeff Reed takes his hair to a Pirates game < Busted Coverage
Breaking the Slump < ...
4-16-09 Sports Blog Bucks Links!
Sports Blog Bucks —
Hello, I’m Ethan Jaynes from NESW Sports. Here are today’s Sports Blog Links. If you have any suggestions/tips/requests email me @ ethanjaynes@comcast.net. Thanks.
Jason @ Ballhype has put together a post showing the bloggers how well/bad they predicted, and Daily Radar has launched LOL Blips.
Isiah Thompson? < The World of Isaac
Jeff Reed takes his hair to a Pirates game < Busted Coverage
Breaking ...
Predictions, Predictions....
Blue Blitz —
... is known as the internet.
First of all, I contributed to With-Malices playoff predictions, which actually turned out to be very boring to look at unless you look at the number of games it was predicted for each team to take to win their respective series, and even then, it's pretty boring.
Eastern Conference
Western Conference
I'll have a full playoff preview going on Friday. Be prepared, because I usually have some wacky predictions!
Also, Jason at Ballhype did a retrospective on the NBA Blogger Previews this year.
As it ...
IC Cold Link: And So The Offseason Begins
Indy Cornrows —
... Artest said. “He really showed a lot of genuine care for me. ... He always came over and made sure I was OK, talked to me, made sure my family was OK. ... He knew I was an emotional kid. He always took time out to make sure I was all right. It was just unfortunate I wasn’t really listening. He taught me a lot. He taught me how to play intelligent basketball, taught me a lot about defense.”
Just unfortunate? (Slowly shakes head...)
BallHype breaks down the numbers to review all of the NBA blogger pre-season ...
A Bad Prediction Rendered Visually
Hoopinion —
BallHype reviews the blog previews. 34 wins. Oops.
Suns Season Preview - An accountability moment
Fanster.com —
... For more fun with accountability, be sure to check out this great post on Ball Hype with fancy charts and everything show how each team did realative to their bloggers predictions. The winner goes to 48 Minutes of Hell who accuruately predicted the Spurs would have 54 wins. Damn Spurs. Even their bloggers win everything. ...
Suns Season Preview - An accountability moment
Bright Side Of The Sun —
... For more fun with accountability, be sure to check out this great post on Ball Hype with fancy charts and everything show how each team did realative to their bloggers predictions. The winner goes to 48 Minutes of Hell who accuruately predicted the Spurs would have 54 wins. Damn Spurs. Even their bloggers win everything. ...
4-17-09 Bust a....
Bust a Bucket - A Portland Trail Blazers Blog —
... Ballhype shows a breakdown of all the blogs predictions for the season. We must not have been born yet, otherwise my 50 win prediction would be tops for Blazers! ...
