Tomorrow’s Cooperstown election results today

Links (8)

THT: Jaffe: Tommorrow’s Cooperstown election results today
Published 1/7/2008 at BBTF's Baseball Primer Newsblog
THT: Jaffe: Tommorrow’s Cooperstown election results today More telling than the 3 signs of Arne Saknussemm...it’s Chris Jaffe and his 10 guidlines on predicting the HOF vote. Guideline No. 3: comparable candidates The best example of how comparable candidates can impact backloggers comes from the sad story of Jim Bunning, Luis Tiant, and Mickey Lolich: three big-winning, long-lasting starting pitchers. In 1988, Bunning scored 74.2 percent of the vote in his 12th year on the ballot, painfully close to entry. Tiant appeared on nearly a third of the ballots and Lolich a ...

Predicting the Hall Vote
Published 1/7/2008 by StatsGuru at Baseball Musings
... January 07, 2008 Predicting the Hall Vote Chris Jaffe pens a set of Hall of Fame guidelines for predicting elections . He sees Gossage getting in this year, and Rice just missing by a hair. Posted by David Pinto at ...

2008 HOF vote results
Published 1/7/2008 by thewizardsofoz <info@southsidesox.com> at South Side Sox: Front Page Posts
You don't have to wait for tomorrow. THT's Chris Jaffe has the results already!: Here's how I see the 2008 vote going, with last year's tallies throw in for comparison. Name % 2007 Goose Gossage 83 71 Jim Rice 74 63 Andre Dawson 62 57 Bert Blyleven 56 48 Tim ...

BASEBALL: Predictions For Tomorrow's Important Vote Results
Published 1/8/2008 by Baseball Crank at Baseball Crank
... Chris Jaffe projects Goose Gossage and maybe Jim Rice to enter the Hall, with Tim Raines making a respectable first-ballot showing. Go read the whole thing for his reasoning and other candidates' projections. ...

Roundup - Is It Werth It?
Published 1/8/2008 by Dave Rouleau at Baseball Digest Daily
... at 2pm EST. The Hardball Times had an interesting article about they predicted would be inducted , with some data to back up their claim. - The whole Clemens saga took another twist yesterday with the release of a call to McNamee taped by Clemens. The legality of it doesn't seem to be in question, since in Texas, only one of the party has to be noticed of the taping for it to be legal. You can here the ...

The 5 Most Puzzling Things About the 2008 Hall of Fame Selections
Published 1/8/2008 by Ben NS at Bleacher Report
... 4) Goose Gossage appeared on 86% of ballots one year after appearing on only 71% of them. The “Over-the-top Surge” has been well-documented, but 15% is a lot. I guess it just shows the extent to which voters vote according to the pervious year’s ballot rather than the player’s accomplishments on the field.  ...

The 5 Most Puzzling Things About the 2008 Baseball Hall of Fame Selections
Published 1/9/2008 by Ben NS at Bleacher Report
... The “Over-the-top Surge” has been well-documented, but 15% is a lot. I guess it just shows the extent to which voters vote according to the previous year’s ballot rather than the players' accomplishments on the field.  ...

Prospectus Hit and Run: PEDs and Discontent by Jay Jaffe
Published 1/25/2008 at Baseball Prospectus
... being announced, my namesake Chris Jaffe drew the connection between the votes per ballot and the perceived strength of its newcomers, even correctly predicting the record low average of names. For all of the merits of his candidacy, top newcomer ...