Community WAR Project 2009
Beyond the Box Score —
... Eventually, this EditGrid spreadsheet will be filled with team projections. Notice that anyone can view the document, but you need a password to modify it. What I'm looking for is a volunteer from each team to: ...
Beyond the Boxscore Community WAR Project 2009
Purple Row —
... in filling out a massive database grid with win projections for all thirty teams (to see what I have for the Rockies, open the grid and click on the COL tab). The basis for this idea is that fan communities for teams, while biased, may also have a better grasp on their team's depth charts and player health situations and may be better able to model playing time. ...
Federal Baseball goes to WAR! (A FederalBaseball.com community project)
Federal Baseball —
... You job is to help me predict who's playing what position, how many PA they'll have (or how many IP for pitchers) and how well they'll do (OBP and SLG for position players, plus adjustements for fielding and baserunning; ERA and rotation spot/role for pitchers). We'll enter them in the on-line master spreadsheet (and by "we" I mean "me") where everyone can look at the numbers for debate, and other teams can look on our stats and despair (possibly the other way around). ...
W.A.R. plans: playing time
Federal Baseball —
... If you want to see what this means for our chances so far, check out the WAR spreadsheet. Click on the "WAS" tab along the bottom to see our projection (and check out the other teams, too, if you're interested). The projected average wins are on the right, and the little box below it shows the odds of getting to a certain level of wins (right now we have a 98% chance of 61+ wins, so last year was likely the low point). I used the batting stats from Marcels, and the rotation and pitching stats I have up there are half-baked nonsense--but it's got us ...
Community Projections Best Practices
Beyond the Box Score —
... Linking to the EditGrid workbook (no, I don't know how to link to a specific sheet) is obviously one way to share what you've put into it, but getting readers to follow links can be tough. As an alternative, you can take screen shots and post jpgs of relevant data. Or you can imbed a "portal" of selected cells in a post (select the range of cells, go to "Publish", select "Cell/range...", and copy the code.) ...
Tuesday Nats Stats--the inevitable density of Adam Dunn
Federal Baseball —
... With the unavoidable talk of Big Wilkie coming to DC, what would the impact be? Well, this shows the fun of the W.A.R. spreadsheet--we can plug in Dunn's numbers and see how it changes our expected wins! What is the statistical case for (or against!) Dunn-K? ...
Pitching for W.A.R.
Federal Baseball —
... Pitching is the last major piece of constructing our projected Wins Above Replacement (W.A.R.) for the 2009 season. I freely admit to being even more clueless, stats-wise, about pitching than I am about hitting, fielding, and baserunning. Of course, I'm not going to let that stop me from trying to come up with a projection, especially with your help! Think about who you think will be in the rotation and bullpen, how much they'll pitch, and how well they'll do. Then leave your ideas in the comments! A few ideas and projected numbers ...
Small W.A.R.s: Baserunning and Fielding
Federal Baseball —
... HItting and pitching dominate the Wins Above Replacement (W.A.R.) projections that I'm putting together with your help. However, fielding and baserunning make important contributions, too. Check out how Your 2009 Nationals are projected to fare in the field (and on the basepaths) after the jump, then weigh in with your opinions. Do I still seriously believe we might get 75 wins this season? ...
Hello Hello Mr. Bowden, Can You Spare An Outfielder?
Amazin' Avenue —
... or Dukes, and rightfield will be manned by Milledge, Kearns, or Dukes. Harris will be used in a utility role, and Pena is unlikely to make the team. Keeping in mind the Nationals were formerly the Expos, and therefore indirectly meet Omar Minaya’s roster building requirements, here’s a brief profile of the six potentially available outfielders. Projected 2009 stats are from the various projection systems and Beyond the Boxscore’s community WAR project spreadsheet.
Elijah Dukes
2008 - .264/.386/.478, 2.9 WAR
Projected ...
Phillies Player Projections
The Good Phight —
... Phillies. My initial projections came out on this blog back in November, but my recent research has helped me improve those.
I have approximated playing time (PA and IP) for each player, but I would like suggestions from readers about whether I have under- or overestimated those for individual players, as well as stat lines.
Here is a link to the website, but please read after the jump before comments as I explain my logic on a lot of issues below:
Projections
The methodology that Beyond the Box Score consists of ...
W.A.G. the dog: Dunn goes to W.A.R.
Federal Baseball —
... On another front, I admit that I've been wondering how valid these calculations are. It sorts of assumes you play a league-average team on average, and the Nats have to play practically every other game against either the hated Mets or the hated Fillies. Of course, we get to beat on the Braves or the Marlins the other half of the time, so maybe it evens out. Out of curiosity, I took a look at some of the other teams in the Community WAR Spreadsheet to see how their season projections were shaping up. A lot of teams had missing, incomplete, or ...
In AD 2009 W.A.R was beginning.
Federal Baseball —
... With the start of the season nearly upon us, it's time to revisit our Wins Above Replacement projection (click the 'WAS' tab on the bottom), in which we try to project how well the Nats will do in the 2009 season. Let's see what's changed since our last update last month. Revised lineups, rotation, and bullpen after the jump, as well as yet another plea for the wisdom of the crowd (that's you guys) to make the projection better. ...
Why the Brewers are a Little Underrated
Brew Crew Ball —
... The overall spreadsheet for the WAR project that lists all of the community projections is right here. Click the MIL tab at the bottom of the page to see the final projections for all the players for yourself. Take the 88.7 win talent with a grain of salt at this point, all of the numbers in the project do seem a bit high-- which does make sense when you consider that many season-ending injuries will occur and though we account for players missing some time, we cannot predict these larger-scale injuries. So I am expecting that the whole league will be a bit ...
GameThread: Washington Nationals at Florida Marlins - Game 1 of 162. Opening Day.
Federal Baseball —
... Here’s the link if you want to review the lineup, rotation, and bullpen in all its gory detail (click the "WAS" tab on the bottom), or you can check out the ...
What Should We Expect Going Forward from the Royals' Offense?
Royals Review —
... ? Well, I don't know how many people from other teams finished theirs, but while at the time the only "big" projection system that was published was CHONE, I later updated it (at least the offense wOBA numbers) by averaging with ZiPS and PECOTA. I left our own mods and playing time projections in except for guys who got cut and stuff. There isn't a huge difference. Click here and scroll over the KCA tab to see what we got. ...
