What Are The Odds: 30 Wins

• fastbreakblog

  +2

  The odds are zero %.   No one will ever win 30.    

  Posted 5/15/2008 [reply] [flag]

• airjakub2

  0

  Really?  Man, I wish you had told me that sooner.  I have to go back and change the entire post now.

  Posted 5/15/2008 [reply] [flag]

Leave a Comment

Links (11)

Links from around the Interwebs
Published 5/15/2008 by Gilbert at Obscure Sports Quarterly
... Brandon Webb has an 0.2% chance of winning 30 games, which shows you how incredibly hard it is to do. (Vegas Watch) ...

Vegas Watch: What Are The Odds: 30 Wins
Published 5/15/2008 at BBTF's Baseball Primer Newsblog
Vegas Watch: What Are The Odds: 30 Wins I remember back in ‘73 when Wilbur Wood had 18 wins a week or so before the All-Star (which he didn’t make) break...and ended up a ditzy 24-20. Brandon Webb is off to another great start- 8-0, with a 2.41 ERA. His insane ground ball rate (63.2%) has allowed him to give up only 2 homers over 56 innings. On the surface, this is very similar to 2006, when he started off 8-0 with a 2.18 ERA. In terms of his chances of winning some ridiculous number of games though, two things are different this year. The first is that this year he’s gone ...

ST. ANDREW'S NET: SPANNING THE GLOBES
Published 5/15/2008 at With Leather - Sports news and gossip for your impressionable young children
... primates alike, Michael Tunison. Expect sports and tits. RizzoSports Blog uncovers a contest with a prize of a 15-minute phone conversation with Anna Kournikova. Only if I can place the call from a few years ago. Tirico Suave scales to great heights to bring the tale of Mountainous Marbury. Blue Monkey Disco Party ticks off the things Tom Brady dislikes other than the NFL. Hopefully on the list: "himself". Vegas Watch looks at Brandon Webb's chances at 30 wins. I'm content to look at ...

The Roundup: Blogger Gets Three Years in Jail
Published 5/15/2008 by TheBigLead at The Big Lead
A bit old, but it’s Isla Fisher from Vanity Fair … tonight’s going to be great: One hour of the Office, followed by an hour of Lost … this lawsuit against Jet Blue is hysterical … can Brandon Webb win 30 games? … mom moments that would have made for classic TV … the humor in this is that Spitzer’s girl moved, and the paper was all over her … no! not the mental health of homeowners! … is the world in the crapper, or is everyone just pessimistic? We’ll take the ...

What are the odds Brandon Webb will win 30 games?
Published 5/15/2008 at Big League Stew
... The fine folks over at Vegas Watch crunched Brandon Webb's numbers and, even considering his perfect 8 wins-in-8 starts so far, he still has only a 0.2% chance of becoming the first pitcher to win 30 since ...

Morning Constituation: O's Magic Is Back!
Published 5/15/2008 at The Sporting Blog
... | Big League Stew This year's O's remake the 80's classic, "Orioles Magic": What Are The Odds: 30 Wins | Vegas Watch Proof that Brandon Webb is amazing: There is an 89.1% chance that he will win 20 games. ...

Rounding The Bases: Jalapen-owned
Published 5/15/2008 by Andy Smith at Bugs & Cranks
If you’re a Cubs fan, it’s never a good idea to enter a food eating contest in St. Louis. [Home Run Derby] Jose Canseco is going to appear on ABC’s Nightline tonight. Was Ted Koppel’s 25 year career fueled by steroids? [Boston Sports Buzz] Ryan Braun got PAID. [Brewers Blog] An all Florida all-star team is both awesome and cheap. [Big League Stew] Does Brandon Webb have any chance to win 30 game? [Vegas Watch] Got a story we should see? Send us an email at tips@bugsandcranks.com ...

Yes, He Can [Blogdome]
Published 5/15/2008 by Will Leitch at Deadspin
• Barack Obama's brother-in-law talks about his new job at Oregon State. [Blazers Edge] • Rioting because of television problems. [Machochip] • So, we guess Big Brown's definitely gonna win, right? [Rumors And Rants] • How to heckle the Twins. [Heckler's Prospectus] • Why can't O.J. Mayo hire an agent again? [Foul Balls] • Any chance Brandon Webb could win 30 games? [Vegas Watch] • The Indians pitchers are out of control right now. [The Sports Lounge] • Great. We have to deal with Ryan Braun for eight more ...

Are 30 wins possible for Webb?
Published 5/15/2008 by Bjoern at Mojo Blog
... had them at 5.07 R/G before the season started, and AEQR has them at 5.03 R/G so far. So, going forward, PECOTA’s 5.07 is probably as good a guess as any. I am not telling you exactly how great (or rather small) the odds are. Take a guess and then go over to there and find out. Let me tease you by saying Webb will reach 20 wins with a 89% probability and Vegas Watch’s calculations are rather conservative, I’d say. Link: What Are The Odds: 30 Wins

Brandon Webb's Shot at 30 Wins
Published 5/16/2008 by Will Brinson at FanHouse
... Well, actually, it's possible. But it is certainly unlikely. Vegas Watch did the math on the possibility that Webb gets 30 wins this season. Bear in mind that is something that was ...

MLB Wrap: Dempster tops his mentor with 12 k’s
Published 5/16/2008 by houroc at SportFiends
... Rockies 5 - Diamondbacks 8: At this rate, Brandon Webb just may end this season with 30 wins. He got another win for the ...