Why Doesn’t Bill Polian’s S–t Work in the Playoffs?

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 Why Doesn’t Bill Polian’s S–t Work in the Playoffs?  Links2
In which football ends up like baseball, Adam Vinatieri isn't as important as you think, and defense really does win more championships than offense. [link]

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UPDATE: PECOTA and Baseball Between the Numbers Paperback
Published 1/4/2007 by Nate Silver at Baseball Prospectus: Unfiltered
... Secondly, our friends at Football Outsiders have run a compelling analysis of what components of team performance are most correlated with playoff success in the NFL, which borrows in places from our analysis of

If your friends jumped off a bridge while making playoff predictions...
Published 1/11/2007 by Skin Patrol at Hogs Haven
... New England @ San Diego -- The Patriots are, simply put, built to win postseason games. San Diego is the best team in the league, but I won't bet against Tom Brady in the playoffs.