Why the Red Sox will beat the Rays

• walshj58

  +1

  Actually, Ben, if you consider park effects, things look a bit different.

   Fenway's 3-yr park factor is 106 according to bb-ref.com, while TB's is 99. So, if you  divide the run values by park factor, you get the following runs scored and allowed:

  BOS - 797 scored, 654 allowed

   TB - 781 scored, 678 allowed 

  So, it appears that Boston was a bit better both on offense and pitching/defense, actually the Sox's advantage in pitching/defense was slightly greater. 

   

  Posted 10/10/2008 [reply] [flag]

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ALCS1: Red Sox at Rays, 8:30 PM
Published 10/10/2008 by redsock (noreply@blogger.com) at The Joy of Sox
... 6 - LAD 6 Kilgore: TBR 6 - LAD 7 *: Benjamin was the only Glober to pick the Red Sox over the Angels.Michael Silverman, Herald: Red Sox in 7. ... David Pinto, Baseball Musings: "Flipping a coin might be just as good. The Red Sox are my favorite, but with just a 51% chance of winning the series." ... Yahoo ran 10,000 AccuScore simulations of the ALCS: The Red Sox won 53% of them. The Hardball Times: Why the Rays will win / Why the Red Sox will win. ... Christina Kahrl has BP's preview: Rays in 6. ... The ...