Wonk Watch: Passing Downs vs. Non-Passing Downs

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 Wonk Watch: Passing Downs vs. Non-Passing Downs
For obvious reasons, there aren’t many inroads into the Sabermetric side of college football, which is more naturally inhabited by, you know, drankin’ and vitriol, etc. The limited sample size, vast differences in schedules and wildly varying numbers based on opponent strength don’t help, either. But Missouri fan Bill Connelly, aka "The Boy" at Rock M Nation , has spent ... [link]

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Morning Coffee Is Impressed With Its Colleagues
Published 6/17/2008 by PB @ BON at Burnt Orange Nation
... time to publicly shout out the greatness of the research being presented by SB Nation's Missouri bloggers, as well. Most recently, Rock M Nation's Bill Connelly released his latest research on gridiron success based on down, distance, and field position. For the stat lovers in the crowd, I'd recommend starting with RMN's stat glossary here before proceeding to the research released this week. For a good overview summary of Bill's latest work, SMQ has your primer. You have to admire his testicular fortitude. Appropriate that ...

YOUR FOOTBALL SIGN DISCOVERED
Published 6/17/2008 by Orson Swindle at EDSBS
... The Sabermetric-type methodology does add numerical backbone to what you had previously assumed to be true just because some man who’d spend a lot of time in Bike shorts had told you: that getting into third and long is real bad in numerically demonstrable ways, and that yards gained closer to the goal line remain far valuable than yards gained far away from your own goal line. SMQ concludes: ...

Passing Downs vs. Non-Passing Downs
Published 6/22/2008 by Richard Pittman at And The Valley Shook
... I found a week-old article over at Sunday Morning Quarterback  that reviews some actual research on the idea that it's important for an offense to stay in good down-and-distance position.  It's kind of an old saw that staying in good down-and-distance is essential for the success, and when you examine the data, it turns out that the old saw is actually correct. ...

Will the clandestine Clawfense win the day against Florida and Auburn?
Published 6/24/2008 by Joel at Rocky Top Talk
... Predictability is the second-leading cause of death for offenses, so I'm all for a misinformation campaign. Every little bit helps, right? ...

Varsity Numbers: NCAA Analysis 101
Published 9/5/2008 by BillConnelly at N/A
... ). A little bit of affirmation followed, and I started working double-time. In the coming weeks, you’ll learn about WinCorr, ‘+’ Rankings, and other ideas I either created or stole from sabermetric concepts over the last 18 months or so. (In addition, over time we might adapt more FO concepts to college and vice versa.) For now, we’ll start with my main metrics: EqPts, Points Per Play (PPP), and S&P. EqPts I enjoyed having Jerome “2 carries, 3 yards, 2 TDs” Bettis on my fantasy team that last year of his career, but let’s be honest: Just about anybody could have come in ...