BallHype User Blog - mehmattski

Congrats to Ross Ohlendorf(and belatedly to A.J. Burnett)

Mon, 7 Sep 2009 20:30:00 +0000

On Saturday, Ross Ohlendorf pitched an immaculate seventh inning against the Cardinals. You can watch it here. I'd have to defer to mehmattski on this, but I would bet that it's the first time that an Immaculate Inning has been throw where every strikeout was a dropped third strike. On June ...

mehmattski posted 9/7/2009 from immaculateinning.com

Find more top sports news, videos, and blogs on BallHype: MLB, A.J. Burnett, New York Yankees, Ross Ohlendorf, Florida Marlins

Immaculate Inning: Daniel Bard

Tue, 28 Apr 2009 23:09:00 +0000

We at Immaculate Inning take a lot of pride in chronicling the rare feat which gives our blog its name; that is, striking out three batters in an inning using just nine pitches. It has only happened 41 times in major league history , but unfortunately we have no idea how common the feat is at ...

mehmattski posted 4/28/2009 from immaculateinning.com

Find more top sports news, videos, and blogs on BallHype: MLB, Philip Hughes

Sweet Sixteen Predictions by Simulation

Tue, 24 Mar 2009 12:31:00 +0000

Now that I've taken a day to recover from watching some 40+ hours of basketball over the weekend, let's revisit the predictions made by my NCAA Tournament Simulator . Here's a link to bracket that I picked based on the highest number of average wins in the tournament . As you can see, the picks ...

mehmattski posted 3/24/2009 from immaculateinning.com

Find more top sports news, videos, and blogs on BallHype: NCAA Basketball

Progression of Final Four Chances

Sat, 21 Mar 2009 03:40:00 +0000

At the Immaculate Inning we've been playing all week with different ways to present data generated by our NCAA Tournament simulation. Here is what I feel is the most dynamic view of things: after every set of games on both Thursday and Friday, I set the probability of the losing teams to "0" and ...

mehmattski posted 3/21/2009 from immaculateinning.com

Find more top sports news, videos, and blogs on BallHype: NCAA Basketball

ACC Teams in NCAAT: Day 2

Fri, 20 Mar 2009 14:56:00 +0000

Above is a real time progression of the Final Four chances and the number of average wins for the seven ACC teams using my NCAA Tournament simulation . Yesterday there were a number of interesting trends, including the downward trend of Carolina's Final Four chances despite crushing Radford ...

mehmattski posted 3/20/2009 from immaculateinning.com

Find more top sports news, videos, and blogs on BallHype: NCAA Basketball, Real Madrid, Maryland Terrapins, Wake Forest Demon Deacons, Florida State Seminoles

ACC Teams in NCAAT: Real Time Chances

Thu, 19 Mar 2009 15:14:00 +0000

Throughout the day, I'm going to re-simulate the NCAAT as each team loses. Then, I am going to plot for each ACC team, their chances of making the Final Four. The first update should be around 2:30 Eastern, and will definitely have implications for North Carolina. Check back here often to see ...

mehmattski posted 3/19/2009 from immaculateinning.com

Find more top sports news, videos, and blogs on BallHype: Soccer, Real Madrid, North Carolina Tar Heels, Wake Forest Demon Deacons, Florida State Seminoles

Immaculate Inning Bracket

Thu, 19 Mar 2009 14:55:00 +0000

My NCAA tournament simulations have been the most popular thing I've ever done on Immaculate Inning. With the tournament starting in one hour, I thought I'd get my personal pics out there. First of all, here is the tournament, selected simply by picking the team with the most average wins in the ...

mehmattski posted 3/19/2009 from immaculateinning.com

Find more top sports news, videos, and blogs on BallHype: NCAA Basketball, Duke Blue Devils

Upset Special!

Wed, 18 Mar 2009 03:14:00 +0000

Hello again, welcome back to Immaculate Inning as we continue our week-long dive into the NCAA tournament, simulation style. In case you missed the posts, I've simulated the tournament one million times , and I've pulled from the data the most likely championship games and final fours . The link ...

mehmattski posted 3/18/2009 from immaculateinning.com

Find more top sports news, videos, and blogs on BallHype: NCAA Basketball

The Most Likely Final Four

Tue, 17 Mar 2009 14:27:07 +0000

Building on one million simulations of the NCAA tournament, here the most likely Final Four participants, and the most likely championship games, are presented and discussed. Have your brackets handy!

mehmattski posted 3/17/2009 from immaculateinning.com

Find more top sports news, videos, and blogs on BallHype: NCAA Basketball

NCAA Tournament Predictions Using Simulations

Mon, 16 Mar 2009 02:05:50 +0000

I used the log5 prediction method and efficiency ratings for each team to simulate the NCAA tournament 1 million times! This post is just the first in a week long look at the results.

mehmattski posted 3/16/2009 from immaculateinning.com

Find more top sports news, videos, and blogs on BallHype: NCAA Basketball

Updated ACC Tourney Probabilities

Fri, 13 Mar 2009 20:50:00 +0000

With the first six games in the ACC Tournament complete, let's revisit the log5 predictions, which are based on tempo-free efficiency ratings accrued in ACC games only: These are up to date following FSU's escape of Georgia Tech in the second afternoon game. As you can see, North Carolina has ...

mehmattski posted 3/13/2009 from immaculateinning.com

Find more top sports news, videos, and blogs on BallHype: NCAA Basketball, Duke Blue Devils

ACC Conference Play: Devourer of Stats

Wed, 11 Mar 2009 18:50:00 +0000

A few weeks ago , I made a very critical post about the 2008-2009 Duke team. Having come off of a very poor stretch, the once promising Blue Devils seemed to be succumbing to conference play, with disastrous consequences. I concluded that Duke's pounding of non-conference foes was clouding our ...

mehmattski posted 3/11/2009 from immaculateinning.com

Find more top sports news, videos, and blogs on BallHype: NCAA Basketball, Duke Blue Devils

AFC Playoff Scenarios

Mon, 15 Dec 2008 03:39:26 +0000

Breaking down the complex tiebreaking scenarios as the Dolphins, Patriots, and Jets all sit at 9-5 going into the seasons final two weeks. For extra credit, full work shown!

mehmattski posted 12/15/2008 from immaculateinning.com

Find more top sports news, videos, and blogs on BallHype: NFL, New York Jets

Sabathia Victim of Obsolete Scoring System

Sun, 31 Aug 2008 23:54:08 +0000

CC Sabathia dropped a ground ball in the sixth inning of Sunday's game, and it was ruled a hit by the official scorer. The Brewers think Sabathia was robbed; the Associated Press thinks the Brewers are nuts, and we think the whole official scorer thing needs to go.

mehmattski posted 8/31/2008 from immaculateinning.com

Find more top sports news, videos, and blogs on BallHype: MLB, C.C. Sabathia, Milwaukee Brewers

What's Wrong: AJ Burnett

Fri, 29 Aug 2008 05:18:43 +0000

Some team is going to pay A.J. Burnett a lot of money this offseason. But if they don't look past Wins and Strikeouts, they will miss caution flags. This post examines the source of caution, using traditional stats, batted ball stats, and pitch f/x data, all boiled down for the casual reader.

mehmattski posted 8/29/2008 from immaculateinning.com

Find more top sports news, videos, and blogs on BallHype: MLB, A.J. Burnett

David Price, The Sequel

Sun, 24 Aug 2008 04:17:03 +0000

Rays uberprospect David Price popped the radar gun but struggled in his third AAA start, lasting just four innings on a beautiful day in Durham. See all the details; this time with pictures!

mehmattski posted 8/24/2008 from immaculateinning.com

Find more top sports news, videos, and blogs on BallHype: MLB, David Price, Tampa Bay Rays

Immaculate Inning: Pat Ragan

Fri, 22 Aug 2008 04:02:55 +0000

On October 5, 1914, Brooklyn's Pat Ragan became the third man to ever throw an Immaculate Inning (nine pitches, all strikes). While the feat is historic, it was his showboating during the event which make it memorable.

mehmattski posted 8/22/2008 from immaculateinning.com

Find more top sports news, videos, and blogs on BallHype: MLB, Atlanta Braves, Rob Neyer, Joe Horn, Manny Ramirez, Skip Bayless, Rich Harden

David Price's AAA Debut

Thu, 14 Aug 2008 03:54:08 +0000

Tampa Bay prospect David Price made his first start for the AAA Durham Bulls on Wednesday. Read a detailed scouting report from the perspective of a fan in attendance to watch this hyped-up lefty.

mehmattski posted 8/14/2008 from immaculateinning.com

Find more top sports news, videos, and blogs on BallHype: MLB, David Price, Tampa Bay Rays, Durham Bulls

Is A-Rod Easy to Pitch To? (Part I)

Wed, 13 Aug 2008 17:18:04 +0000

Alex Rodriguez is heavily criticize for many things: stat-padding, showboating, being unclutch. But one criticism deserves investigation: compared to other elite hitters, is A-Rod predictable enough that he can be disposed of easily in tough situations? Take a journey through an A-Rod at bat with Pitch f/x as a guide!

mehmattski posted 8/13/2008 from immaculateinning.com

Find more top sports news, videos, and blogs on BallHype: MLB, Alex Rodriguez

Immaculate Inning: Rube Waddell

Sun, 10 Aug 2008 04:35:01 +0000

Thirteen years passed between the first recorded Immaculate Inning (three strikeouts on nine pitches) and July 1, 1902. The American League had formed, but foul balls still didn't count as strikes. That day, A's manager Connie Mack introduced his famous new pitcher-- Rube Waddell, and the result was Immaculate.

mehmattski posted 8/10/2008 from immaculateinning.com

Find more top sports news, videos, and blogs on BallHype: MLB, Rube Waddell, Oakland Athletics, Connie Mack